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Coyotes at Golden Knights
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chandler Stephenson's goal at 8:12 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were ARI 32, VGK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Robin Lehner stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (2 G), 2. Max Pacioretty (1 G), 3. William Karlsson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI11211505232
VGKVGK0817313428

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    T. Pitlick(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    8:24

2nd period

  1. ARI
    N. Schmaltz(1)PPG
    J. Chychrun (3), D. Brassard (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    9:35
  2. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(3)
    C. Stephenson (2), S. Theodore (2)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    17:02

3rd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(1)
    W. Karlsson (1), J. Marchessault (2)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    4:11
  2. VGK
    C. Stephenson(1)
    Z. Whitecloud (1), M. Stone (4)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +29 pts
    2-3
    8:12
  3. VGK
    R. Smith(2)EN
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.37win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    19:48

Penalties

ARI 10 PIM·VGK 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:45ARIJohan Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min
  • 8:43ARIJordan Oesterle · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:13VGKWilliam Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 19:23ARITyler Pitlick · Hookingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

2nd

  • 2:16VGKNicolas Roy · Holdingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 5:19ARIJakob Chychrun · Kneeingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min
  • 8:21VGKJonathan Marchessault · Cross checkingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 13:06VGKMax Pacioretty · Interferencedrawn by Christian Fischer2 min

3rd

  • 13:02ARIChristian Dvorak · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 18:47VGKJonathan Marchessault · Slashingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalARI goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Chandler Stephenson, 3rd 8:12 — VGK 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.37M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.28A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.24W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.18W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.14C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.13A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.12W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.11R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.10A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.09A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.06S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.06S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01
VGK4 G · 3.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsVGK
2.32 G
All situations
3 G3.7
1.30 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.81 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI33%67%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsVGK
32
Shots on goal
28
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/5
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
30
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
5
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD000010.00110—22:37
6J. ChychrunD011-120.20402—22:31
82J. OesterleD000-200.02232—20:25
4N. HjalmarssonD000-100.00120—20:08
18C. DvorakC000-320.140026118:13
17T. PitlickC101+110.06212017:03
9C. KellerR000040.23010—16:48
81P. KesselR000-330.28000—16:40
83C. GarlandR000-140.37100—16:35
16D. BrassardC011-110.152005615:55
8N. SchmaltzC101-160.411004414:42
55J. DemersD000000.00310—14:33
91D. CaggiulaL000-120.09110—14:31
75K. CapobiancoD000-120.07120—14:23
22J. LarssonL000-120.150124412:20
29B. HaytonC000020.091006711:39
67L. CrouseL000-100.004005011:36
36C. FischerR000-100.00600—10:19
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)27243.8893.29+0.2958:51

Season series

VGK leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).