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Golden Knights at Coyotes
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-A PLUS·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derick Brassard's goal at 7:55 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were VGK 31, ARI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.7 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Conor Garland (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nick Schmaltz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Darcy Kuemper (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Garland1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    N. Schmaltz1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    D. Kuemper29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK01119111231
ARIARI11021125526

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    C. Dvorak(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    3:22

2nd period

  1. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:19
  2. ARI
    slapxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    7:55
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    12:00

3rd period

  1. ARI
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    1:25
  2. VGK
    C. Glass(1)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +3 pts
    2-4
    11:04
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.56
    2-5
    19:01

Penalties

VGK 12 PIM·ARI 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:52VGKNicolas Roy · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 10:37ARIJason Demers · Slashingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 13:38VGKShea Theodore · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:17VGKAlex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

2nd

  • 13:15ARIJason Demers · Interferencedrawn by Cody Glass2 min

3rd

  • 5:33VGKWilliam Carrier · Interferencedrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 7:52ARIJason Demers · High sticking double minordrawn by William Carrier4 min
  • 17:02VGKAlec Martinez · High stickingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 19:01VGKMark Stone · Hookingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalVGK goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Derick Brassard, 2nd 7:55 — ARI 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Oesterle · Goal · xG 0.56P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.24N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.20N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.19L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.16C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.16C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.15C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.14C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.10C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.08C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.04L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.00L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI5 G · 2.9 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsARI
2.62 G
All situations
4 G2.9
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK55%45%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsARI
31
Shots on goal
26
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/4
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
22
21
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD000-220.10110—26:23
23A. MartinezD000010.04152—24:02
2Z. WhitecloudD000020.02110—22:35
27S. TheodoreD112-230.22022—22:21
3B. McNabbD000010.03150—20:46
61M. StoneR011030.42012—17:17
71W. KarlssonC000-220.191105316:35
89A. TuchR000010.0422210015:28
19R. SmithR000-210.12210—15:11
67M. PaciorettyL000+130.50100—14:54
20C. StephensonC000000.000104314:47
9C. GlassC101010.221108014:39
81J. MarchessaultR000-230.09200—13:52
92T. NosekL000020.133006413:36
10N. RoyC000000.000026712:21
28W. CarrierL000-130.25102—11:28
75R. ReavesR000010.00500—10:43
55K. KolesarR000020.22200—03:47
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90R. Lehner(L)25214.8402.31-1.6959:47

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).