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Rangers at Sabres
NHL

New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
2
Final/OTTV MSG-B, MSG·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2 in overtime, Mika Zibanejad scoring at 4:32. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 4:32 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 5.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYR 47, BUF 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Dustin Tokarski stopped 44 of 47 (.936), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Tokarski (44 saves, .936), 2. Colin Blackwell (1 G), 3. Artemi Panarin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    D. Tokarski44 saves, .936
  2. ★★
    NYR
    C. Blackwell1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR01011512111347
BUFBUF112021801223

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    R. Asplund(3)
    J. Skinner (2), C. Eakin (4)
    wristxG 0.54win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:06

2nd period

  1. NYR
    C. Blackwell(9)
    A. Panarin (24), R. Strome (23)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:40

3rd period

  1. NYR
    F. Chytil(7)
    J. Gauthier (6), A. Lafrenière (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +29 pts
    2-1
    6:17
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(2)
    C. Mittelstadt (5), S. Reinhart (10)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +46 pts
    2-2
    19:56

Overtime

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(12)
    A. Panarin (25), A. Fox (27)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    4:32

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:34BUFCasey Mittelstadt · Roughingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 19:56NYRPhillip Di Giuseppe · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

2nd

  • 14:55BUFColin Miller · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min

3rd

  • 7:39BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Holdingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 13:55BUFSteven Fogarty · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNYR goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, OT 4:32 — NYR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Asplund · Goal · xG 0.54C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.13V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.12T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.10T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.09K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.06C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Fogarty · On goal · xG 0.04C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.03K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF2 G · 2.1 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsBUF
5.33 G
All situations
2 G2.1
3.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR90%10%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.25 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsBUF
47
Shots on goal
23
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
8
Hits
17
7
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
3
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011020.27010—28:27
93M. ZibanejadC101050.860007125:22
10A. PanarinL022+270.60000—23:50
79K. MillerD000+110.12010—22:24
16R. StromeC011+130.700003322:22
20C. KreiderL000010.01310—22:15
8J. TroubaD000+240.11220—22:15
89P. BuchnevichL000-100.16000—21:05
55R. LindgrenD000-130.09000—18:52
24K. KakkoR000060.89000—18:29
43C. BlackwellC101+140.540006013:44
42B. SmithD000020.04010—13:43
25L. HajekD000-100.06000—12:36
17K. RooneyC000-130.532104011:31
72F. ChytilC101020.170005010:02
33P. Di GiuseppeL000020.08002—09:18
13A. LafrenièreL011010.02000—08:11
12J. GauthierR011010.07100—07:16
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)23212.9132.13+0.1364:26

Season series

NYR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).