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Devils at Sabres
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸5
Buffalo Sabres
3
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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-3. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael McLeod's goal at 10:40 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were NJD 37, BUF 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Carter Hutton stopped 32 of 36 (.889). Three stars: 1. Miles Wood (2 G, 1 A), 2. Michael McLeod (2 G), 3. Rasmus Ristolainen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    M. Wood2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    M. McLeod2 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    R. Ristolainen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD211114212537
BUFBUF0921519333

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    M. McLeod(2)
    P. Subban (3), R. Murray (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:20
  2. NJD
    A. Johnsson(2)
    J. Bratt (1), T. Smith (6)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    19:43

2nd period

  1. BUF
    C. Lazar(3)
    R. Ristolainen (4), J. McCabe (2)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    14:11
  2. BUF
    R. Dahlin(1)PPG
    V. Olofsson (5), J. Eichel (8)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    15:23
  3. NJD
    M. Wood(4)
    J. Kuokkanen (2)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    19:59

3rd period

  1. BUF
    R. Ristolainen(2)PPG
    V. Olofsson (6), J. Eichel (9)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    3:53
  2. NJD
    M. McLeod(3)
    M. Wood (3), N. Bastian (3)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +33 pts
    4-3
    10:40
  3. NJD
    M. Wood(5)EN
    P. Zacha (2), D. Severson (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +6 pts
    5-3
    19:52

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:28NJDJanne Kuokkanen · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 14:35BUFMatt Irwin · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min

2nd

  • 1:40NJDDmitry Kulikov · Hookingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min
  • 15:07NJDTy Smith · Holdingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min

3rd

  • 1:10BUFBrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 2:19NJDserved by A. Johnsson · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 7:50BUFRasmus Dahlin · Holdingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNJD goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Michael McLeod, 3rd 10:40 — NJD 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.18C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.16J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.15T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.14R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.12B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.11C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.11J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.09R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.08R. Ristolainen · Goal · xG 0.08T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.06C. Lazar · Goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · Goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF3 G · 2.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsBUF
4.84 G
All situations
3 G2.8
3.64 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.10 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD66%34%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.77 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsBUF
37
Shots on goal
33
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
15
9
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD011+230.19010—22:39
22R. MurrayD011+100.00120—21:50
76P. SubbanD011010.19020—21:25
70D. KulikovD000+310.08102—20:37
86J. HughesC000030.401003818:41
63J. BrattL011+130.11010—18:18
20M. McLeodC202+320.441002817:03
24T. SmithD011+110.04012—16:39
37P. ZachaC011+120.171005515:58
59J. KuokkanenC011+100.00112014:51
7M. TennysonD000+110.02100—14:34
17Y. SharangovichC000+141.29000014:18
44M. WoodL213+470.83000—14:10
11A. JohnssonL101020.0800010014:09
97N. GusevL000-120.06000—13:41
14N. BastianR011+230.66000—13:33
90J. BoqvistC000010.10010011:24
23M. MaltsevL000010.122004310:20
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(W)33303.9092.77-0.2360:00

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).