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Flames at Stars
NHL

Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Dallas Stars
▸2
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-SW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Calgary Flames 2-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Klingberg's goal at 1:12 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were CGY 29, DAL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Klingberg (1 G), 2. Anton Khudobin (28 saves, .966), 3. Cam Talbot (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    C. Talbot30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1707015129
DALDAL11401216232

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(2)SHG
    T. Seguin (3)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:13
  2. CGY
    M. Backlund(4)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:14

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Klingberg(1)
    M. Janmark (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    1:12

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:47DALJamie Oleksiak · Holdingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 8:13CGYRasmus Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min
  • 8:54DALAlexander Radulov · Interferencedrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 13:10DALserved by A. Radulov · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 15:08CGYMark Giordano · Delaying game2 min
  • 19:37DALAndrew Cogliano · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCGY goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: John Klingberg, 3rd 1:12 — DAL 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.37J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.29C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.23J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.22B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.22R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.14M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.13M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.08R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.06T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.02B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02T. Fedun · Missed · xG 0.02A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDAL
2.01 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY33%67%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDAL
29
Shots on goal
32
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
45
Hits
41
15
Blocked shots
20
21
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000030.16112—22:44
4R. AnderssonD000-230.11212—22:38
55N. HanifinD000020.05210—19:49
7T. BrodieD000-100.00330—19:36
23S. MonahanC000-120.290006718:56
28E. LindholmC000040.496006718:40
93S. BennettC000050.193005018:06
56E. GustafssonD000+120.09010—17:33
13J. GaudreauL000-120.20010—17:31
29D. DubeC000-130.05420016:45
11M. BacklundC101020.163103616:38
17M. LucicL000000.1040010015:58
16T. RiederL000010.00600—15:47
88A. MangiapaneL000+100.03000—15:24
20D. ForbortD000-100.00100—12:44
10D. RyanC000000.002006010:33
36Z. RinaldoC000000.00710009:40
89A. QuineC000000.0313010008:51
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)32302.9382.85+0.8558:07

Series

DAL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).