Skip to content
Flames at Stars
NHL

Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
4
Dallas Stars
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-SW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Calgary Flames 5-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Oleksiak's goal at 19:20 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were CGY 26, DAL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.3 goals below expected; Ben Bishop stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Miro Heiskanen (2 G), 2. Corey Perry (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jamie Oleksiak (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    C. Perry1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Oleksiak1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1718211426
DALDAL21421517536

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(4)
    T. Brodie (2), M. Giordano (2)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:19
  2. DAL
    A. Radulov(1)
    J. Benn (1), J. Klingberg (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    2:42
  3. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(1)
    A. Radulov (1)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    11:14

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(2)
    J. Klingberg (3), B. Bishop (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    4:50
  2. CGY
    D. Forbort(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    13:00
  3. DAL
    C. Perry(2)PPG
    R. Faksa (1), R. Hintz (2)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    15:05

3rd period

  1. CGY
    T. Rieder(2)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    3-4
    12:24
  2. CGY
    S. Bennett(3)PPG
    E. Lindholm (2), J. Gaudreau (2)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +37 pts
    4-4
    17:11
  3. DAL
    J. Oleksiak(2)
    C. Perry (1), M. Janmark (2)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +46 pts
    4-5
    19:20

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:51CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min

2nd

  • 2:39CGYSam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min
  • 8:05DALJamie Benn · Roughingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 14:21CGYMark Giordano · Interferencedrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

3rd

  • 4:51DALTyler Seguin · High sticking double minordrawn by TJ Brodie4 min
  • 10:52CGYMark Giordano · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 16:13DALAlexander Radulov · Holdingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCGY goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Oleksiak, 3rd 19:20 — DAL 52% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.38T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.15D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.14C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.14A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.13C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.13T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.12M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.12M. Heiskanen · Goal · xG 0.12R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.11T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.11R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.10B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.05B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.00B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 2.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDAL
1.74 G
All situations
5 G2.7
1.02 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY32%68%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.73 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDAL
26
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
44
Hits
41
10
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD011020.03204—22:52
28E. LindholmC011000.026104522:27
7T. BrodieD011010.02220—21:42
4R. AnderssonD000000.00220—20:18
11M. BacklundC000-120.112105319:24
23S. MonahanC000-100.084005218:18
13J. GaudreauL011040.17000—18:16
88A. MangiapaneL000-210.20802—16:56
17M. LucicL000+100.004003316:42
55N. HanifinD000020.02010—16:28
20D. ForbortD101-110.02110—16:13
56E. GustafssonD000-110.05100—15:42
29D. DubeC101020.18300015:27
93S. BennettC101+150.43702015:20
16T. RiederL101030.25110—10:56
19M. TkachukL000-100.00000—10:53
10D. RyanC000010.001004008:17
77M. JankowskiL000-110.160105007:29
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)36315.8612.72-2.2859:37

Series

DAL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).