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Flames at Stars
NHL

Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸3
Dallas Stars
2
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-SW+·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Dallas Stars 3-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Andersson's goal at 16:01 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 1.4; shots on goal were CGY 26, DAL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.6 goals below expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Dillon Dube (2 G), 2. Cam Talbot (24 saves, .923), 3. Rasmus Andersson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Dube2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    C. Talbot24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY2121707326
DALDAL0721108226

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(2)PPG
    M. Lucic (4), M. Backlund (2)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    10:54
  2. CGY
    D. Dube(3)
    E. Gustafsson (4), D. Forbort (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    18:02

2nd period

  1. DAL
    D. Gurianov(1)
    M. Heiskanen (5), J. Oleksiak (1)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    10:52
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(1)
    E. Lindell (1)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    11:01
  3. CGY
    R. Andersson(2)
    N. Hanifin (3)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    16:01

Penalties

CGY 9 PIM·DAL 7 PIM

1st

  • 9:34DALAlexander Radulov · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 11:15DALCorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min
  • 11:15CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 13:30CGYDillon Dube · Cross checkingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

3rd

  • 19:10CGYMark Giordano · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCGY goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson, 2nd 16:01 — CGY 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.20J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.18J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.13D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.11T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.01S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.00A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 1.4 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDAL
3.43 G
All situations
2 G1.4
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY59%41%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 1.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDAL
26
Shots on goal
26
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/1
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
7
34
Hits
29
18
Blocked shots
13
17
Giveaways
20
13
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD101010.05230—21:46
5M. GiordanoD000010.02112—21:38
7T. BrodieD000-100.00020—21:37
20D. ForbortD011+140.05020—20:22
11M. BacklundC011-120.221001918:32
28E. LindholmC000010.08120018:20
55N. HanifinD011-130.72420—17:45
13J. GaudreauL000010.04000—17:36
23S. MonahanC000010.153106417:13
88A. MangiapaneL000-110.1470010016:24
19M. TkachukL000-110.14305—16:13
56E. GustafssonD011+120.07110—15:32
17M. LucicL011030.072006914:43
29D. DubeC202030.46202014:37
93S. BennettC000010.14520014:32
16T. RiederL000+111.01120—10:57
10D. RyanC000+100.001003310:04
77M. JankowskiL000+100.000006709:19
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(W)26242.9231.38-0.6260:00

Series

DAL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).