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Bruins at Hurricanes
NHL

Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Boston Bruins
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
3
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-CR·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3. The Bruins came back from two goals down. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 11:40 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.6 to 0.9; shots on goal were BOS 33, CAR 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 2.1 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 29 of 33 (.879). Three stars: 1. Jake DeBrusk (2 G), 2. Connor Clifton (1 G, 1 A), 3. Justin Williams (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. Clifton1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Williams1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS06011416433
CARCAR1711012319

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Williams(1)
    J. Gardiner (1), V. Trocheck (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:17

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(2)
    S. Aho (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    12:08

3rd period

  1. BOS
    J. DeBrusk(2)
    O. Kase (3), C. Clifton (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    7:26
  2. BOS
    C. Clifton(1)
    J. Nordstrom (2), C. Wagner (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    10:10
  3. BOS
    B. Marchand(3)
    T. Krug (3)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +35 pts
    3-2
    11:40
  4. BOS
    J. DeBrusk(3)
    O. Kase (4), D. Krejci (5)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    4-2
    14:17
  5. CAR
    T. Teravainen(3)
    B. Skjei (2), D. Hamilton (1)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +6 pts
    4-3
    18:33

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:38CARRyan Dzingel · High stickingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 4:55BOSJack Studnicka · Slashingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

2nd

  • 9:31CARTeuvo Teravainen · Hookingdrawn by Jack Studnicka2 min
  • 19:37CARDougie Hamilton · Holdingdrawn by Jack Studnicka2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalBOS goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, 3rd 11:40 — BOS 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.12J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.11M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Williams · Goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 0.9 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsCAR
3.64 G
All situations
3 G0.9
2.54 G
Even strength
3 G0.8
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS91%9%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.62 – 0.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsCAR
33
Shots on goal
19
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
37
15
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000-220.18240—24:59
63B. MarchandL101050.59000—20:57
47T. KrugD011+120.15130—20:45
46D. KrejciC011+110.333103820:42
37P. BergeronC000070.800105020:14
13C. CoyleC000030.080004020:03
33Z. CharaD000+110.00300—19:10
48M. GrzelcykD000-110.02110—17:33
25B. CarloD000+100.03420—17:18
74J. DeBruskL202+130.65100—16:07
75C. CliftonD112+210.04300—14:37
28O. KaseR022+110.10200—14:29
26P. LindholmC000+120.252004013:53
14C. WagnerR011+100.004008313:52
20J. NordstromC011+120.06720013:20
68J. StudnickaC000-100.06102010:27
10A. BjorkL000010.29010—10:16
52S. KuralyC000-210.002003309:20
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(W)19163.8420.91-2.0959:58

Series

BOS leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).