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Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins

Final/2OTTV NBCSN, FS-CR·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in double overtime, Patrice Bergeron scoring at 1:13. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrice Bergeron's goal at 1:13 of the second overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were CAR 28, BOS 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 0.5 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Edmundson (1 G), 3. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Edmundson1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
CARCAR14151120601328
BOSBOS191121701111440

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    slapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:02
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:45

2nd period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    4:38
  2. CAR
    B. McGinn(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:59

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.29win prob +24 pts
    2-3
    0:59
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.02win prob +30 pts
    3-3
    9:49

2OT overtime

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.09win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    1:13

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:24CARNino Niederreiter · Elbowingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 9:25BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min

2nd

  • 1:42BOSOndrej Kase · Holdingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 4:38CARserved by R. Dzingel · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 11:54CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 14:07CARJordan Staal · High stickingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 14:07BOSCharlie Coyle · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

3rd

  • 5:12BOSJeremy Lauzon · Holdingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

OT

  • 18:24CARBrady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCAR goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Patrice Bergeron, 2OT 1:13 — BOS 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.29B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.27C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.27D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.16J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.14B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.13A. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.13N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.12O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.12O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.11M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.11C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.09C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.08O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.07C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.07C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.06D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.05C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.04S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.03D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.03C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.00C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.00S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 3.5 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsBOS
2.33 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR31%69%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsBOS
28
Shots on goal
40
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
51
Hits
32
28
Blocked shots
30
14
Giveaways
22
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-230.05540—37:03
6J. EdmundsonD101030.19540—30:33
76B. SkjeiD000020.03032—28:51
19D. HamiltonD000-200.06030—26:48
20S. AhoC011020.345104126:25
86T. TeravainenC011010.011104025:01
37A. SvechnikovR000030.06602—21:44
11J. StaalC000-120.214026221:11
4H. FleuryD101+120.07430—20:33
23B. McGinnL101-110.09200—20:27
88M. NecasC000+100.0721010018:45
13W. FoegeleL000-110.02110—18:44
16V. TrocheckC011+100.071404018:28
18R. DzingelC000010.13210018:22
21N. NiederreiterR000-150.62402—18:12
43M. GeekieC000-110.131101116:14
48J. MartinookL000-110.145103315:39
51J. GardinerD000+100.02300—13:05
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)40364.9003.47-0.5381:13

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).