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Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NBCSN, FS-CR·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Boston Bruins 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 8:30 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 26, BOS 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. James Reimer stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Tuukka Rask stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dougie Hamilton (1 G), 3. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    D. Hamilton1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0721019326
BOSBOS16114015235

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Krejci(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    15:41

2nd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    15:13
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.18win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    16:41
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.17win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    19:55

3rd period

  1. CAR
    slapxG 0.06win prob +31 pts
    3-2
    8:30

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:41BOSJeremy Lauzon · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 14:26CARBrady Skjei · Hookingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min

2nd

  • 6:57CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Zdeno Chara2 min
  • 6:57BOSZdeno Chara · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 14:56BOSChris Wagner · Elbowingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 18:18CARTeuvo Teravainen · Interferencedrawn by Torey Krug2 min

3rd

  • 3:26CARserved by R. Dzingel · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 9:30BOSCharlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCAR goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, 3rd 8:30 — CAR 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.20C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.18B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.17J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10A. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.06C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.06O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.06D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.06D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.05T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.03K. Kuhlman · Missed · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.02C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.02D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kuhlman · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 1.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsBOS
2.33 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.52 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR50%50%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 1.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsBOS
26
Shots on goal
35
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
35
Hits
43
18
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
17
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19D. HamiltonD101+150.66030—24:20
74J. SlavinD000+100.04260—21:45
76B. SkjeiD000010.03302—21:23
45S. VatanenD000020.05130—19:17
20S. AhoC011010.194104118:53
86T. TeravainenC101010.08002017:34
88M. NecasC022+220.123105017:18
16V. TrocheckC000+250.413002316:59
4H. FleuryD000+100.00420—16:10
11J. StaalC000010.153005015:15
37A. SvechnikovR112+210.18302—15:00
23B. McGinnL000000.0930010014:28
18R. DzingelC000010.02000013:36
48J. MartinookL000010.08400—13:17
57T. van RiemsdykD011+130.04000—12:55
14J. WilliamsR000020.0301010012:28
43M. GeekieC000000.131104411:52
13W. FoegeleL000000.00100—10:52
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)35332.9431.79-0.2159:46

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).