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Maple Leafs at Blue Jackets
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Columbus Blue Jackets
3
Final/OTTV NHLN, FS-O·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in overtime, Auston Matthews scoring at 13:10. The Maple Leafs came back from three goals down. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 13:10 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were TOR 53, CBJ 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Elvis Merzlikins stopped 49 of 53 (.925), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (1 G, 2 A), 2. Zach Hyman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Elvis Merzlikins (49 saves, .925).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    Z. Hyman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins49 saves, .925

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR01501638114453
CBJCBJ1131131607339

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    C. Atkinson(2)
    P. Dubois (1), E. Merzlikins (1)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:58

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    V. Gavrikov(1)
    D. Savard (3), A. Texier (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:40

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    B. Jenner(1)
    N. Foligno (2)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    14:18
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(2)
    Z. Hyman (2), M. Marner (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    1-3
    16:03
  3. TOR
    J. Tavares(2)
    A. Matthews (3), M. Marner (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    2-3
    16:54
  4. TOR
    Z. Hyman(1)
    A. Matthews (4), W. Nylander (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +43 pts
    3-3
    19:37

Overtime

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(2)PPG
    J. Tavares (1), M. Marner (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +52 pts
    4-3
    13:10

Penalties

TOR 13 PIM·CBJ 15 PIM

1st

  • 17:24CBJZach Werenski · Trippingdrawn by William Nylander2 min

2nd

  • 13:52TORJason Spezza · Fightingdrawn by Dean Kukan5 min
  • 13:52CBJDean Kukan · Fightingdrawn by Jason Spezza5 min
  • 13:52TORJason Spezza · Slashingdrawn by Dean Kukan2 min
  • 15:17CBJCam Atkinson · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 15:17TORAlexander Kerfoot · Roughingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
  • 15:39CBJNick Foligno · Hookingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 18:03CBJDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 19:39TORMorgan Rielly · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min

3rd

  • 9:04TORMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min

OT

  • 13:00CBJNick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTOR goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, OT 13:10 — TOR 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.90B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.28C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.21B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.19E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.14B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.11O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.10L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.09G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.08E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.08G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.06B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06L. Foudy · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.05L. Foudy · Missed · xG 0.05A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.05R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.04D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.04N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.03A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.03E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02L. Foudy · Missed · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · Goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.02A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.02L. Foudy · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.01E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 3.8 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsCBJ
3.14 G
All situations
3 G3.8
2.13 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 122 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR52%48%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsCBJ
53
Shots on goal
39
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
15
20
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
20
17
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000+150.22122—33:51
34A. MatthewsC123+2100.522303028:15
16M. MarnerR033+180.55112—27:58
91J. TavaresC112060.403104826:52
94T. BarrieD000-110.06000—26:38
3J. HollD000-110.02210—22:37
11Z. HymanL112+250.221002522:12
83C. CeciD000-110.05100—21:19
23T. DermottD000000.00030—20:21
88W. NylanderR112+220.181007519:51
24K. KapanenR000030.11200—18:16
15A. KerfootC000010.06012016:37
47P. EngvallL000020.210005016:07
52M. MarincinD000-110.02020—13:29
65I. MikheyevR000010.08100—13:01
89N. RobertsonL000-110.08000—12:14
73K. CliffordL000020.12210—11:59
19J. SpezzaC000030.153073310:37
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)39363.9232.91-0.0970:46

Series

CBJ leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).