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Blue Jackets at Maple Leafs
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 16:00 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were CBJ 20, TOR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 2. Zach Hyman (1 A), 3. John Tavares (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    Z. Hyman1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ060608020
TORTOR015114210339

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    0-1
    16:00

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:56
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.45
    0-3
    19:17

Penalties

CBJ 12 PIM·TOR 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:13CBJVladislav Gavrikov · High stickingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 11:40CBJNick Foligno · Holdingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 16:29TORJake Muzzin · High stickingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

2nd

  • 2:21CBJEmil Bemstrom · Holdingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min
  • 4:34TORNick Robertson · Slashingdrawn by Riley Nash2 min
  • 6:51CBJBoone Jenner · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 17:01TORKasperi Kapanen · Roughingdrawn by Vladislav Gavrikov2 min
  • 17:01CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Roughingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

3rd

  • 0:53CBJNick Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 14:23TORJason Spezza · Trippingdrawn by Emil Bemstrom2 min
  • 17:10TORKasperi Kapanen · Slashingdrawn by Liam Foudy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalCBJ goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 2nd 16:00 — TOR 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.51M. Rielly · Goal · xG 0.45J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.24M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.22J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.20J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.15J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.15M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.13J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.12I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.12N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.06K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.06N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 4.3 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTOR
1.90 G
All situations
2 G4.3
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ30%70%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTOR
20
Shots on goal
39
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/4
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
28
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-320.17220—28:47
3S. JonesD000-200.07150—28:04
58D. SavardD000010.06340—22:12
71N. FolignoL000-130.273142018:27
14G. NyquistR000-110.051005018:13
44V. GavrikovD000010.01124—17:32
18P. DuboisC000-220.273005016:54
38B. JennerC000-110.102125816:10
13C. AtkinsonR000-120.20100—16:01
10A. WennbergC000010.232104215:37
28O. BjorkstrandR000-200.12200—15:14
27R. MurrayD000-100.00100—14:53
42A. TexierL000-110.06100—13:58
19L. FoudyC000-110.03100012:35
20R. NashC000030.161008210:53
52E. BemstromC000010.03012009:12
50E. RobinsonL000000.09310—08:05
46D. KukanD000000.01000—07:25
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)38362.9473.11+1.1157:48

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).