Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 16:00 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were CBJ 20, TOR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 2. Zach Hyman (1 A), 3. John Tavares (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Matthews1 G, 1 A

- ★★Z. Hyman1 A

- ★★★J. Tavares1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-116:00
3rd period
0-24:56
0-319:17
Penalties
1st
- 5:13
Vladislav Gavrikov · High stickingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
- 11:40
Nick Foligno · Holdingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
- 16:29
Jake Muzzin · High stickingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
2nd
- 2:21
Emil Bemstrom · Holdingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min
- 4:34
Nick Robertson · Slashingdrawn by Riley Nash2 min
- 6:51
Boone Jenner · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
- 17:01
Kasperi Kapanen · Roughingdrawn by Vladislav Gavrikov2 min
- 17:01
Vladislav Gavrikov · Roughingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
3rd
- 0:53
Nick Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
- 14:23
Jason Spezza · Trippingdrawn by Emil Bemstrom2 min
- 17:10
Kasperi Kapanen · Slashingdrawn by Liam Foudy2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Auston Matthews, 2nd 16:00 — 53% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.90 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.3
- 1.20 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.3
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 3.08
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 39
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 0/5
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 28
- Hits
- 18
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 11
- Giveaways
- 11
- 8
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Series
CBJ leads 3-2
2@
0Final
0@
3this game
3@
4OTFinal
4@
3OTFinal
3@
0Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
