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Stars at Predators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
0
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-SW·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Dallas Stars 2-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 19:07 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 56% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 4.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 33, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Juuse Saros stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Filip Forsberg (1 G), 3. Matt Duchene (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros33 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Duchene1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL011012010033
NSHNSH11011408232

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(19)PPG
    R. Josi (47), K. Turris (21)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    19:07

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Duchene(13)PPG
    C. Jarnkrok (19), V. Arvidsson (11)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    13:44

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:10NSHRocco Grimaldi · Holdingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 14:37DALJohn Klingberg · Interferencedrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 18:14DALJohn Klingberg · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

2nd

  • 1:33DALserved by A. Radulov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:47NSHserved by V. Arvidsson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:39NSHViktor Arvidsson · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 13:05DALStephen Johns · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

3rd

  • 2:02NSHViktor Arvidsson · Trippingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalDAL goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, 1st 19:07 — NSH 56% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.53R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.47R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.46R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.46R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.44C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.17F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.14R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.13C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.12N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.11V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.05K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.03C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.02K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.00R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 4.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNSH
2.60 G
All situations
2 G4.5
1.80 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL59%41%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNSH
33
Shots on goal
32
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
20
7
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000000.00100—23:14
91T. SeguinC000000.052004021:51
23E. LindellD000040.06110—19:55
3J. KlingbergD000030.08014—19:18
28S. JohnsD000010.00302—19:01
14J. BennL000040.480205018:58
10C. PerryR000020.17000—18:03
47A. RadulovR000050.35110—16:42
5A. SekeraD000020.02010—16:33
16J. PavelskiC000040.170007115:55
13M. JanmarkC000040.741005015:16
18J. DickinsonC000000.022003814:57
34D. GurianovR000000.29100—14:55
2J. OleksiakD000010.01000—14:21
24R. HintzC000010.040006714:15
12R. FaksaC000020.092005412:09
15B. ComeauL000000.002005011:24
11A. CoglianoC000000.03210011:01
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(L)32302.9382.09+0.0956:40

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).