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Predators at Stars
NHL

Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV NBC, SN·Cotton Bowl Stadium

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Nashville Predators 4-2. The Stars came back from two goals down. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 5:06 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 55% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.7 to 3.9; shots on goal were NSH 33, DAL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 31 of 35 (.886); Ben Bishop stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Comeau (1 G), 2. John Klingberg (2 A), 3. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    B. Comeau1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH210012011233
DALDAL08116311435

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. Duchene(9)PPG
    F. Forsberg (14), R. Josi (26)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    5:46
  2. NSH
    D. Fabbro(4)PPG
    M. Duchene (19), R. Josi (27)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    7:36

2nd period

  1. DAL
    B. Comeau(5)
    J. Dickinson (7), E. Lindell (11)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    18:52

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Janmark(5)PPG
    J. Klingberg (15), R. Hintz (6)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    0:58
  2. DAL
    A. Radulov(12)PPG
    J. Klingberg (16), J. Benn (11)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    2-3
    5:06
  3. DAL
    A. Sekera(1)
    R. Faksa (7), M. Janmark (9)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    6:35

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·DAL 21 PIM

1st

  • 2:44DALCorey Perry · Game misconductdrawn by Ryan Ellis10 min
  • 2:44DALCorey Perry · Elbowingdrawn by Ryan Ellis5 min
  • 4:22DALBlake Comeau · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:38NSHMatt Irwin · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Denis Gurianov0 min
  • 11:27DALRadek Faksa · Roughingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 11:27NSHColin Blackwell · Roughingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

2nd

  • 11:00DALTyler Seguin · Boardingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 16:44NSHRoman Josi · Cross checkingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 19:11NSHColin Blackwell · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:42NSHRyan Johansen · Hookingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNSH goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Alexander Radulov, 3rd 5:06 — DAL 55% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.49J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.37A. Sekera · Goal · xG 0.29A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.22T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.18M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.17J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.16D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.16B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.14J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.13B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.13B. Comeau · Goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.11M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.08J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.06D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.05E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.04E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.04B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.04R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.04J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.04A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01
DAL4 G · 4.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDAL
3.92 G
All situations
4 G4.7
2.50 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
1.12 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH49%51%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.78 – 3.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDAL
33
Shots on goal
35
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/4
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
21
26
Hits
42
12
Blocked shots
18
12
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD022020.21142—33:02
14M. EkholmD000-110.02130—27:45
57D. FabbroD101-140.25110—23:32
95M. DucheneC112030.290006219:39
92R. JohansenC000-120.480225519:36
19C. JarnkrokC000020.13200019:12
33V. ArvidssonL000020.05000—18:57
64M. GranlundC000-120.28000017:22
5D. HamhuisD000000.03000—17:18
9F. ForsbergL011010.29300—16:45
13N. BoninoC000030.471102615:33
52M. IrwinD000-210.02200—13:12
8K. TurrisC000-120.111005612:26
23R. GrimaldiR000010.10200—11:36
15C. SmithC000071.17210010:46
51A. WatsonL000-200.00700—10:29
42C. BlackwellC000-100.00204007:36
4R. EllisD000000.00100—01:15
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(L)35314.8863.88-0.1257:29

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).