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Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 5:27 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 31, LAK 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Cal Petersen stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 2. Adrian Kempe (2 A), 3. Caleb Jones (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. Jones2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM17212112431
LAKLAK0411514223

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    19:29

2nd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:27
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    16:14
  3. LAK
    A. Kopitar(18)PPG
    A. Iafallo (22), A. Kempe (17)
    snapxG 0.34win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    18:39

3rd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    0:49
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.93win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:10

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:22EDMJosh Archibald · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 17:54LAKSean Walker · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

2nd

  • 17:56EDMLeon Draisaitl · High stickingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min

3rd

  • 12:08LAKDustin Brown · Trippingdrawn by Gaetan Haas2 min
  • 19:38EDMJujhar Khaira · Holdingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalEDM goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 2nd 5:27 — EDM 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.34M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.26A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.19A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.15M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.13A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.09D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.08S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.08S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.07D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.06B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.05S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.03D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.02T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsLAK
4.03 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.52 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM60%40%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsLAK
31
Shots on goal
23
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
23
12
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000050.38420—28:10
74E. BearD000020.02120—26:58
6A. LarssonD000+200.02010—22:43
29L. DraisaitlC101+160.930026222:41
82C. JonesD022+200.00000—20:51
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101+130.38320020:18
97C. McDavidC123+160.690003619:22
56K. YamamotoR011+100.06100—16:58
39A. ChiassonR000-110.13000—16:53
15J. ArchibaldR101+110.93102—14:12
89S. GagnerC000000.05100013:44
23R. SheahanC011+120.030004013:30
52P. RussellR011+100.00010—10:51
91G. HaasC000010.111102910:32
49T. BensonL000010.15100—10:11
16J. KhairaL000000.00202—10:05
84W. LagessonD000020.04130—09:51
83M. BenningD000010.06000—09:23
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)23212.9132.51+0.5159:42

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).