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Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anze Kopitar's goal at 14:21 of the first period, which took the Kings' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 26, LAK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Jonathan Quick stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Drew Doughty (3 A), 2. Tyler Toffoli (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jonathan Quick (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Doughty3 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    T. Toffoli2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    J. Quick25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0131607126
LAKLAK31211018530

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:32
  2. LAK
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:21
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    19:56

2nd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    0:38
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.22win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    11:16

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.16
    1-5
    17:01

Penalties

EDM 22 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:54EDMJosh Archibald · Trippingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 14:54LAKCarl Grundstrom · Trippingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min

2nd

  • 2:30EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 11:16EDMserved by G. Haas · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 14:45LAKAdrian Kempe · Holdingdrawn by Gaetan Haas2 min
  • 19:29EDMJujhar Khaira · Hookingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min

3rd

  • 6:41EDMAlex Chiasson · Cross checkingdrawn by Alec Martinez2 min
  • 11:27EDMAlex Chiasson · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:19EDMMarkus Granlund · Holdingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalEDM goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Anze Kopitar, 1st 14:21 — LAK 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.22M. Amadio · Goal · xG 0.22T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.16A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.16A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.13A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.13J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.11A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.10A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.09D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.05D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.04A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.03A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.00A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.00A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK5 G · 2.6 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsLAK
2.91 G
All situations
5 G2.6
2.21 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM57%43%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsLAK
26
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/6
22
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
27
16
Blocked shots
8
6
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000-120.03040—26:13
4K. RussellD000-140.10310—22:38
29L. DraisaitlC000-351.071003821:07
25D. NurseD000-110.10110—21:04
97C. McDavidC101-240.512104520:59
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000010.191126319:04
74E. BearD000-200.00100—17:54
44Z. KassianR000-300.00600—17:28
18J. NealL000020.13000—14:45
82C. JonesD000-100.00220—14:26
15J. ArchibaldR000+100.15412—14:01
6A. LarssonD000000.04010—13:37
23R. SheahanC000010.010004713:05
60M. GranlundC000-100.0002210012:22
10J. NygardL000+140.51100—11:25
91G. HaasC000-100.001106010:00
16J. KhairaL000000.000123309:54
39A. ChiassonR000-120.060012—08:16
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen18162.8891.63-0.3740:00
41M. Smith(L)1293.7500.93-2.0720:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).