Kings at Oilers 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Los Angeles Kings

Edmonton Oilers

▸2

FinalTV FS-W, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 11:02 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 56% to 67%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.6, EDM 2.8; shots on goal were LAK 36, EDM 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Koskinen (35 saves, .972), 2. Alex Chiasson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Larsson.

Three stars

★
M. Koskinen35 saves, .972
★★
A. Chiasson1 G, 1 A
★★★
A. Larsson

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
LAK	018	05	113	136
EDM	210	03	07	220

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

L. Draisaitl(19)PPG
A. Chiasson (7), J. Neal (6)
wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
0-1
11:02
A. Chiasson(3)PPG
C. McDavid (33), L. Draisaitl (34)
wristxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
0-2
14:46

3rd period

M. Amadio(5)
D. Doughty (13), J. Ryan (2)
wristxG 0.30win prob +10 pts
1-2
13:32

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

10:10Adrian Kempe · Holdingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min
14:21Sean Walker · Hookingdrawn by Joakim Nygard2 min
18:21Markus Granlund · Hookingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

3rd

1:25Jeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min
5:10Kris Russell · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: EDM

100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 1st 11:02 — EDM 56% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 2.8 xG · 34 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.6 xG · 50 att EDM

2 G · 2.8 xG · 34 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.61 G
All situations: 2 G2.8; 1.81 G
Even strength: 0 G1.4; 0.90 G
Power play: 2 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

48%52%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

36
Shots on goal: 20; 59%
Faceoffs: 41%; 0/2
Power play: 2/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 32
Hits: 19; 9
Blocked shots: 15; 14
Giveaways: 14; 8
Takeaways: 8

Box score

every player line

Los Angeles Kings skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
8D. DoughtyD	0	1	1	+1	4	0.14	0	2	0	—	25:40
11A. KopitarC	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	4	1	0	70	23:16
23D. BrownR	0	0	0	0	6	0.36	3	0	0	—	21:13
19A. IafalloL	0	0	0	0	4	0.23	1	1	0	50	20:39
6J. RyanD	0	1	1	+1	2	0.06	1	2	0	—	19:45
26S. WalkerD	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	3	0	2	—	19:29
3M. RoyD	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	3	0	0	—	19:01
9A. KempeR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	—	18:05
15B. HuttonD	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	1	0	—	16:40
46B. LizotteC	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	67	15:22
77J. CarterC	0	0	0	0	6	0.73	1	0	2	83	15:06
2P. LaDueD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	—	14:49
73T. ToffoliC	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	0	14:36
51A. WagnerL	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	5	0	0	—	12:32
74N. ProkhorkinL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14	11:24
22T. LewisC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	1	0	0	0	11:12
64M. LuffR	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	2	0	0	—	10:04
10M. AmadioR	1	0	1	+1	1	0.30	0	0	0	33	09:45

Los Angeles Kings goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
32J. Quick(L)	20	18	2	.900	2.76	+0.76	58:05

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

1st period

3rd period

1st

3rd

Box score