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Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SNW·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 6-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 10:46 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 37, SJS 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. David Rittich stopped 34 of 36 (.944); Aaron Dell stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zac Rinaldo (1 G, 1 A), 2. Noah Hanifin (2 A), 3. Milan Lucic (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    Z. Rinaldo1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Lucic1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY31511428637
SJSSJS110113013236

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Lucic(6)PPG
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:05
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    4:39
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    9:23
  4. SJS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    12:47

2nd period

  1. SJS
    B. Burns(12)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    4:51
  2. CGY
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    10:46

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(19)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +6 pts
    5-2
    1:26
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.10
    6-2
    14:08

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·SJS 24 PIM

1st

  • 2:09SJSBrenden Dillon · Slashingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

2nd

  • 1:43CGYMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 1:43SJSStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 1:43SJSStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 3:15CGYRasmus Andersson · Interferencedrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 15:54SJSEvander Kane · Elbowingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min

3rd

  • 0:14SJSBrenden Dillon · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 11:12SJSTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 12:18SJSStefan Noesen · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:18SJSEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCGY goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 2nd 10:46 — CGY 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.37K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.15B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.14M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.09M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.08M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.08S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.08P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.08B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Letunov · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.07M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.06B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.05S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.05K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.05B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.04M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.04P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02A. True · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.00B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSJS
3.56 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
1.03 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY68%32%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSJS
37
Shots on goal
36
39%
Faceoffs
61%
3/6
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
24
18
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
7
7
Giveaways
5
9
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD022+220.13100—24:54
19M. TkachukL101020.24010—21:47
26M. StoneD000010.03320—20:22
4R. AnderssonD011+220.04002—20:20
7T. BrodieD000010.08010—20:00
13J. GaudreauL011050.31000—19:05
23S. MonahanC011020.680005018:56
28E. LindholmC011-140.24000018:36
11M. BacklundC112020.160003116:19
17M. LucicL123+140.44312—16:00
29D. DubeC000020.10200014:50
88A. MangiapaneL011010.17000—14:30
58O. KylingtonD000000.00100—13:33
10D. RyanC000010.080105513:15
77M. JankowskiL112+210.250203012:07
16T. RiederL101+230.13200—11:36
6B. DavidsonD000010.11230—11:27
36Z. RinaldoC112+230.28420011:03
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)36342.9442.35+0.3560:00

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).