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Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 18:08 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 33, SJS 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.4 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Couture (2 A), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Martin Jones (32 saves, .970).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    L. Couture2 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Jones32 saves, .970

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY011111011133
SJSSJS2611103320

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.41win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:04
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:13

2nd period

  1. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    6:43
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(1)SHG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    18:08

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:52SJSTomas Hertl · Trippingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 18:21CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

2nd

  • 15:08CGYRasmus Andersson · Slashingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 16:51SJSBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min

3rd

  • 9:34SJSBrent Burns · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 13:33SJSBrenden Dillon · Slashingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCGY goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 2nd 18:08 — SJS 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.53T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.41B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.25L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.22T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.13T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.10P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.09P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.09K. Labanc · Goal · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.05B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04L. Bergmann · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.03K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.03K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.03L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSJS
2.11 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY61%39%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 1.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSJS
33
Shots on goal
20
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
11
16
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
12
13
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000030.11030—26:08
7T. BrodieD011+110.00010—21:32
13J. GaudreauL000-110.12000—20:47
28E. LindholmC101-110.080106220:23
23S. MonahanC000-120.632006219:53
55N. HanifinD000-100.02010—19:25
19M. TkachukL000-250.33000—19:07
24T. HamonicD000-140.01020—19:04
4R. AnderssonD000-120.11112—17:57
11M. BacklundC000-160.470022717:30
10D. RyanC000030.190203814:39
67M. FrolikR000-120.02110—13:39
16T. RiederL000000.00020—13:22
17M. LucicL000010.0130010012:30
93S. BennettC000010.001104412:10
58O. KylingtonD000-100.00110—11:47
88A. MangiapaneL000000.00100—10:36
27A. CzarnikC000010.03000008:23
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)20173.8501.61-1.3957:01

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).