Skip to content
Islanders at Lightning
NHL

New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+ 2·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 0:14 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were NYI 18, TBL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (17 saves, .944), 3. Anthony Cirelli.

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy17 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI080515118
TBLTBL010110210330

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(20)
    N. Kucherov (41)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    0:14

3rd period

  1. TBL
    C. Verhaeghe(7)
    Y. Gourde (14), M. Stephens (3)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:25
  2. NYI
    D. Brassard(10)PPG
    J. Bailey (21), A. Beauvillier (19)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    12:12
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos(26)EN
    B. Point (31), N. Kucherov (42)
    wristxG 0.60win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:58

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 18:42NYIRyan Pulock · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:43TBLAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 0:43NYIScott Mayfield · Embellishmentdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 10:17TBLNikita Kucherov · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 0:14 — TBL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.60A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · Missed · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.07B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.07C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.05K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.05E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.05E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.05C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.04E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stephens · Missed · xG 0.02C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.00E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.00S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 2.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTBL
1.51 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI45%55%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.54 – 1.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTBL
18
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
30
Hits
36
10
Blocked shots
17
1
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. ToewsD000-110.06010—23:22
2N. LeddyD000-100.00200—22:43
6R. PulockD000-220.11202—21:58
24S. MayfieldD000000.00112—19:57
29B. NelsonC000-110.151006519:45
13M. BarzalC000-120.110005019:30
27A. LeeL000-120.31020—17:42
7J. EberleR000-100.00010—16:49
12J. BaileyR011-210.05110—16:04
55J. BoychukD000-110.09210—15:31
18A. BeauvillierR011-200.00100—15:01
8N. DobsonD000-100.00010—14:40
47L. KomarovR000020.04200—13:28
17M. MartinL000020.16410—13:26
53C. CizikasC000010.022002912:27
28M. Dal ColleL000-110.14200—12:02
20K. BellowsL000000.00500—11:45
10D. BrassardC101-120.305105711:33
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)29272.9311.80-0.2058:03

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).