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Lightning at Islanders
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Pulock's goal at 11:33 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were TBL 35, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.3 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A), 3. Thomas Greiss (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    T. Greiss33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL05116114235
NYINYI0521338526

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(6)
    N. Leddy (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:58
  2. TBL
    Y. Gourde(2)
    K. Shattenkirk (6)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    7:49
  3. NYI
    R. Pulock(2)
    D. Brassard (2), A. Beauvillier (5)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:33

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(5)
    M. Barzal (5), A. Lee (3)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    12:41
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(5)
    J. Boychuk (6)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    14:27
  3. TBL
    R. McDonagh(1)
    O. Palat (4), S. Stamkos (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    18:03
  4. NYI
    D. Brassard(4)EN
    A. Lee (4), J. Bailey (6)
    wristxG 0.92
    2-5
    19:24

Penalties

TBL 11 PIM·NYI 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:20TBLMikhail Sergachev · Hookingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 12:51TBLLuke Witkowski · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 12:51NYIRoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Luke Witkowski5 min

2nd

  • 1:49NYIDevon Toews · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 5:45NYICal Clutterbuck · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 15:33TBLKevin Shattenkirk · Trippingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

3rd

  • 7:21NYIScott Mayfield · Delaying game puck over glassdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 14:27TBLserved by T. Johnson · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalTBL goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Pulock, 2nd 11:33 — NYI 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.92A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.17J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.13A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.11A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.10N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.09D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07C. Bardreau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.06D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04C. Bardreau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.04D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 2.6 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYI
2.12 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.52 G
Even strength
4 G1.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL58%42%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 1.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYI
35
Shots on goal
26
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
23
Hits
36
12
Blocked shots
21
16
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000-230.27222—24:06
27R. McDonaghD101-110.01020—22:57
86N. KucherovR000020.13310—19:53
22K. ShattenkirkD011+260.37012—19:49
91S. StamkosC011020.041006918:58
71A. CirelliC000010.030005418:11
81E. CernakD000-240.10220—18:05
18O. PalatL011030.20000—17:56
21B. PointC000020.310004517:36
17A. KillornL000-120.12010—15:06
37Y. GourdeC101020.26200014:36
2L. SchennD000-110.02300—14:33
92A. VolkovR000-110.041105014:04
9T. JohnsonC000000.00010013:59
44J. RuttaD000-220.10200—13:57
7M. JosephR000-220.050005013:26
13C. PaquetteC000-310.062108010:49
28L. WitkowskiD000-200.00505—08:04
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)25214.8401.72-2.2857:55

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).