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Jets at Blues
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Copp's goal at 9:04 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were WPG 25, STL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (35 saves, .946), 2. Andrew Copp (1 G, 1 A), 3. Colton Parayko (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck35 saves, .946
  2. ★★
    WPG
    A. Copp1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    C. Parayko1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1911026425
STLSTL013214010237

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    J. Harkins(1)
    J. Roslovic (12), A. Copp (10)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:55

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(20)
    M. Scheifele (34), K. Connor (27)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:58
  2. STL
    C. Parayko(4)PPG
    R. Thomas (23), V. Dunn (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    11:16
  3. STL
    C. Gunnarsson(2)
    A. Pietrangelo (31), R. O'Reilly (39)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:36

3rd period

  1. WPG
    A. Copp(9)
    J. Harkins (3)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +31 pts
    3-2
    9:04
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(19)EN
    D. Kulikov (6), B. Wheeler (30)
    backhandxG 0.90win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    19:49

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:28STLJay Bouwmeester · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 12:16WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
  • 12:35WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

2nd

  • 9:23WPGSami Niku · Holdingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Andrew Copp, 3rd 9:04 — WPG 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.17S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.16C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.15C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.10A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.09C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.09V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.07S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.04S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.04A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.04A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gunnarsson · Goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 3.3 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
3.03 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG30%70%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
37
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000+230.08000—27:36
44J. MorrisseyD000000.00000—26:00
7D. KulikovD011+110.10230—21:57
55M. ScheifeleC011+110.170203519:50
88N. BeaulieuD000+210.02400—19:29
81K. ConnorL011+130.32000—18:43
9A. CoppC112+330.240104018:19
29P. LaineL101+140.31100—18:09
26B. WheelerR011020.290125517:15
8S. NikuD000010.02002—15:41
58J. HarkinsC112+220.18010015:38
28J. RoslovicC011+210.12000015:12
82M. AppletonC000-100.0400010015:09
27N. EhlersL101031.04012—14:50
5L. SbisaD000+100.00210—08:27
21N. ShoreC000000.001002507:49
38L. ShawR000000.0610010007:27
57G. BourqueL000000.00200—06:36
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)37352.9463.27+1.2760:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).