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St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Roslovic's goal at 17:05 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were STL 40, WPG 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.9 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sami Niku (2 A), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (38 saves, .950), 3. Jack Roslovic (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    S. Niku2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck38 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Roslovic2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL014014212240
WPGWPG11221427533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    18:44

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    17:05
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    19:45

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    13:20
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    2-3
    15:50
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.52win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:29
  4. WPG
    P. Laine(19)EN
    wristxG 0.66
    2-5
    19:39

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:36WPGAndrew Copp · Slashingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 8:36STLTroy Brouwer · Roughingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 16:36STLColton Parayko · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

2nd

  • 1:23WPGMark Scheifele · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 11:18WPGSami Niku · Holdingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 11:43STLDavid Perron · Hookingdrawn by Nicholas Shore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Roslovic, 2nd 17:05 — WPG 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.66B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.52K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.16L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.14J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.14A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.13J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.13J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.11J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02S. Niku · Missed · xG 0.02P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.02S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.02S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG5 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWPG
2.52 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.22 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL57%43%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWPG
40
Shots on goal
33
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
23
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000-460.17000—25:47
55C. ParaykoD000-130.14122—25:33
19J. BouwmeesterD011010.03110—22:52
57D. PerronL000-110.03002—20:48
90R. O'ReillyC101050.480006320:34
72J. FaulkD000010.03120—20:09
10B. SchennC101-420.161006118:13
17J. SchwartzL011-300.14000—18:05
18R. ThomasC011-130.280002516:51
12Z. SanfordL011+120.21120—15:17
21T. BozakC000-150.140102914:55
20A. SteenL000-100.00020—14:05
29V. DunnD000-130.18000—12:55
49I. BarbashevL000030.193006710:42
9S. BlaisL000010.12200—10:40
41R. BortuzzoD000010.04120—10:06
36T. BrouwerR000-130.19012—09:19
28M. MacEachernL000000.00200—08:43
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)31283.9032.11-0.8958:26

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).