Rangers at Red Wings 1-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

New York Rangers

▸1

Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FS-D, MSG 2·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Detroit Red Wings 1-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 12:13 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 60%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.7, DET 2.9; shots on goal were NYR 31, DET 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Henrik Lundqvist (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Jonathan Bernier (30 saves, .968), 3. Valtteri Filppula.

Three stars

★
H. Lundqvist33 saves, 1.000
★★
J. Bernier30 saves, .968
★★★
V. Filppula

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYR	16	014	011	131
DET	011	011	011	033

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

M. Zibanejad(20)PPG
C. Kreider (17), R. Strome (32)
wristxG 0.26win prob +12 pts
1-0
12:13

Penalties

6 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

11:00Justin Abdelkader · Interferencedrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
14:06Pavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min

2nd

2:40Luke Glendening · Hookingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
16:13Greg McKegg · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Perlini2 min

3rd

3:50Givani Smith · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
3:50Jacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Givani Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: DET

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, 1st 12:13 — NYR 48% → 60%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.9 xG · 44 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.7 xG · 39 att DET

0 G · 2.9 xG · 44 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.71 G
All situations: 0 G2.9; 2.00 G
Even strength: 0 G2.3; 0.61 G
Power play: 0 G0.5; 0.20 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

48%52%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

31
Shots on goal: 33; 69%
Faceoffs: 31%; 1/2
Power play: 0/2; 6
Penalty minutes: 6; 24
Hits: 25; 6
Blocked shots: 7; 10
Giveaways: 12; 7
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

New York Rangers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
93M. ZibanejadC	1	0	1	4	0.49	1	0	0	75	22:57
8J. TroubaD	0	0	0	5	0.12	4	0	2	—	21:10
10A. PanarinL	0	0	0	4	0.39	0	0	0	—	20:24
77T. DeAngeloD	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	2	0	—	20:02
17J. FastR	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	—	19:57
18M. StaalD	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	1	0	—	19:51
89P. BuchnevichL	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	2	—	19:19
76B. SkjeiD	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	—	19:16
16R. StromeC	0	1	1	1	0.17	0	0	0	60	19:10
23A. FoxD	0	0	0	2	0.07	2	0	0	—	18:22
55R. LindgrenD	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	—	17:57
48B. LemieuxL	0	0	0	1	0.29	4	0	0	—	13:21
24K. KakkoR	0	0	0	2	0.31	0	0	0	—	13:10
72F. ChytilC	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	0	0	75	12:10
14G. McKeggC	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	2	67	11:38
21B. HowdenC	0	0	0	2	0.27	1	0	0	0	09:49
42B. SmithD	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	—	07:47
20C. KreiderL	0	1	1	2	0.19	1	0	0	—	07:40

New York Rangers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
30H. Lundqvist(W)	33	33	0	1.000	2.87	+2.87	60:00

Season series

NYR leads 3-0

Nov 61@5Final
Jan 312@4Final
Feb 11@0this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings

1st period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score