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Red Wings at Rangers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
New York Rangers
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-D+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Buchnevich's goal at 9:23 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.5 to 1.2; shots on goal were DET 25, NYR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 1.0 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 2 A), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Chris Kreider (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0708210225
NYRNYR015312112439

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    P. Buchnevich(9)
    M. Zibanejad (22), C. Kreider (16)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    9:23
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(18)
    A. Fox (22), M. Zibanejad (23)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    11:56
  3. NYR
    A. Panarin(27)
    J. Fast (14), T. DeAngelo (26)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    19:18

3rd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(19)PPG
    T. DeAngelo (27), A. Panarin (43)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    5:02
  2. DET
    R. Fabbri(12)
    D. Larkin (24)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    5:59
  3. DET
    V. Filppula(4)
    T. Daley (5), R. Fabbri (14)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    2-4
    10:59

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·NYR 0 PIM

1st

  • 8:12DETValtteri Filppula · Hookingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min

3rd

  • 4:37DETJustin Abdelkader · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 6:23DETValtteri Filppula · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDET goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Buchnevich, 2nd 9:23 — NYR 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.48M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.17G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.17R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.16R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.13B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.13K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.09J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.09G. McKegg · Missed · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.08K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.06C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.03R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 3.5 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYR
1.22 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET19%81%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.25 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYR
25
Shots on goal
39
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/0
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
0
19
Hits
17
20
Blocked shots
18
1
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000-210.00100—25:13
22P. NemethD000-210.01040—23:21
21D. CholowskiD000+200.01020—19:19
71D. LarkinC011+110.110108118:34
59T. BertuzziL000-100.0000010017:55
11F. ZadinaR000-130.22110—17:47
83T. DaleyD011+200.00010—17:43
3A. BiegaD000-150.12210—17:39
52J. EricssonD000-110.02320—16:45
81F. NielsenC000020.054106716:38
43D. HelmC000020.011105016:19
41L. GlendeningC000010.042204416:08
14R. FabbriC112020.26000014:46
51V. FilppulaC101-220.121045814:44
73A. ErneL000020.25110—12:01
8J. AbdelkaderL000020.02022—11:41
70C. EhnC000000.001005010:24
48G. SmithR000000.00210—10:13
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)39354.8973.02-0.9858:25

Season series

NYR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).