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Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers

FinalTV NBCSN, TVAS·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tony DeAngelo's goal at 4:25 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 54% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.0 to 3.2; shots on goal were DET 36, NYR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.3 goals below expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Henrik Lundqvist (35 saves, .972), 2. Tony DeAngelo (1 G, 1 A), 3. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist35 saves, .972
  2. ★★
    NYR
    T. DeAngelo1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET07113016136
NYRNYR01131327531

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    4:25
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:04
  3. NYR
    R. Strome(5)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    8:49
  4. DET
    wristxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    9:41

3rd period

  1. NYR
    G. McKegg(1)SHG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    8:44
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.76
    1-5
    17:23

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:19NYRJacob Trouba · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 2:26DETAdam Erne · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 7:19DETJustin Abdelkader · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

3rd

  • 7:08NYRMicheal Haley · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 11:35DETDylan McIlrath · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDET goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Tony DeAngelo, 2nd 4:25 — NYR 54% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.76F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.48A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.20C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.19C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.17R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.15A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.15G. McKegg · Goal · xG 0.14B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.12T. DeAngelo · Goal · xG 0.11J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.09B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.09M. Haley · On goal · xG 0.08L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.08B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.08J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.07J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.07R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.06M. Haley · Missed · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.00M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 4.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYR
3.21 G
All situations
4 G4.0
2.11 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
1.10 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET57%43%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYR
36
Shots on goal
31
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
14
12
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71D. LarkinC000-250.161106824:59
74M. BoweyD000030.16010—20:57
59T. BertuzziL000-230.34100—20:45
39A. ManthaR011-140.4010010020:07
72A. AthanasiouC011-150.682105019:40
2J. HickettsD000+120.02230—19:09
51V. FilppulaC101010.120104419:08
22P. NemethD000000.00110—18:20
21D. CholowskiD000-310.06120—17:40
17F. HronekD000-110.14010—17:38
8J. AbdelkaderL000020.054022914:23
73A. ErneL000-130.26302—14:02
29B. PerliniL000030.37200—13:43
20D. McIlrathD000-100.01212—13:06
43D. HelmC000020.3300010012:22
67T. HiroseL000-110.09000—12:07
70C. EhnC000000.0010010011:06
3A. BiegaD000+100.00200—08:25
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)30264.8672.74-1.2656:42

Season series

NYR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).