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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

Final/OTTV CBC, SN·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1 in overtime, Ilya Kovalchuk scoring at 4:08. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ilya Kovalchuk's goal at 4:08 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 25, OTT 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Carey Price stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Marcus Hogberg stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carey Price (41 saves, .976), 2. Ilya Kovalchuk (1 G), 3. Marcus Hogberg (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Price41 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    MTL
    I. Kovalchuk1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Hogberg23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL18070218225
OTTOTT0801611602142

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(9)PPG
    J. Petry (21), T. Tatar (23)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    8:24

3rd period

  1. OTT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +36 pts
    1-1
    13:32

Overtime

  1. MTL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    4:08

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:42OTTDylan DeMelo · Cross checkingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 12:10MTLNick Cousins · Cross checkingdrawn by Cody Goloubef2 min
  • 12:33OTTDrake Batherson · Hookingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 14:38OTTDrake Batherson · Interferencedrawn by Ilya Kovalchuk2 min

2nd

  • 10:59OTTBrady Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Victor Mete2 min

3rd

  • 1:28MTLMarco Scandella · Interferencedrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 1:28OTTChris Tierney · Embellishmentdrawn by Marco Scandella2 min
  • 6:05MTLVictor Mete · Interferencedrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 9:27MTLTomas Tatar · Holdingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 15:57MTLMarco Scandella · Trippingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Ilya Kovalchuk, OT 4:08 — MTL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.18B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.16D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.15A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.09T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.06T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.06C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chlapik · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.03C. White · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03F. Chlapik · Missed · xG 0.03A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chlapik · Missed · xG 0.01A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01
OTT1 G · 2.5 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
3.12 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.71 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL58%42%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
25
Shots on goal
42
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
27
Hits
26
12
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD011-130.14220—27:53
6S. WeberD000020.11300—26:37
24P. DanaultC000+130.270006523:21
28M. ScandellaD000-110.29024—20:51
90T. TatarL011020.40112—20:37
17I. KovalchukL101+140.67010—20:26
13M. DomiC000020.121001718:19
62A. LehkonenL000030.60110—18:14
14N. SuzukiC101010.032003617:44
53V. MeteD000+100.00122—17:41
20C. FleuryD000010.02320—14:33
77B. KulakD000000.05000—13:07
15J. KotkaniemiC000-120.081003312:52
21N. CousinsC000-110.08202011:39
44N. ThompsonC000000.212105711:38
25R. PoehlingC000000.00200011:29
63M. PecaC000-100.05100007:57
22D. WeiseR000000.00500—07:26
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(W)42411.9762.54+1.5464:08

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).