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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV SN, RDS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, Ben Chiarot scoring at 1:11. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ben Chiarot's goal at 1:11 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 37, MTL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals below expected; Cayden Primeau stopped 35 of 37 (.946). Three stars: 1. Cayden Primeau (35 saves, .946), 2. Ben Chiarot (1 G), 3. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Primeau35 saves, .946
  2. ★★
    MTL
    B. Chiarot1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT01201421100237
MTLMTL111091811329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    M. Domi (13), S. Weber (16)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    13:36

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:29
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(11)PPG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    4:30
  3. OTT
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +35 pts
    2-2
    13:05

Overtime

  1. MTL
    M. Domi (14)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:11

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·MTL 14 PIM

1st

  • 11:59OTTCody Goloubef · Trippingdrawn by Nate Thompson2 min

2nd

  • 4:08MTLMax Domi · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 7:39OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Shea Weber2 min
  • 7:39MTLShea Weber · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 7:39OTTAnthony Duclair · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 8:24MTLJoel Armia · Slashingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 8:52OTTColin White · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 13:34MTLJoel Armia · Hookingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 15:50OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 4:08MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 6:16MTLTomas Tatar · High stickingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 17:27MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Ben Chiarot, OT 1:11 — MTL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Chiarot · Goal · xG 0.27B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.26B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.24N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.14J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.12N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.12J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.10N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.09N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.08S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.06R. Barber · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.05B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.05J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.05B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02O. Leskinen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
1.92 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT40%60%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.87 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
37
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
14
29
Hits
32
11
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
21
13
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011-120.08000—28:42
44J. PageauC000020.102005021:59
7B. TkachukL112080.675126021:24
81R. HainseyD000+120.04130—20:13
28C. BrownR101050.26000—19:42
2D. DeMeloD000010.03020—19:25
22N. ZaitsevD000-130.06100—19:00
90V. NamestnikovC000020.03220016:08
10A. DuclairL000-110.14212—16:01
36C. WhiteC000000.050024315:58
71C. TierneyC000010.010004715:05
74M. BorowieckiD000-130.03510—14:45
51A. AnisimovC000010.1900010014:10
63T. EnnisR011030.07300—14:00
13N. PaulL000-120.08410—11:41
29C. GoloubefD000+100.00102—11:17
21L. BrownC000010.02200010:51
17J. DavidssonR000000.01100—05:55
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(O)29263.8972.38-0.6260:56

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).