Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 2-1 in overtime, Brady Tkachuk scoring at 0:38. The Canadiens scored first; the Senators answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Tkachuk's goal at 0:38 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 24, MTL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G), 2. Craig Anderson (35 saves, .972), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G).
Three stars
- ★B. Tkachuk1 G

- ★★C. Anderson35 saves, .972

- ★★★N. Suzuki1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-10:44
1-19:55
Overtime
2-10:38
Penalties
1st
- 0:58
Victor Mete · High sticking double minordrawn by Connor Brown4 min
- 19:09
Nikita Zaitsev · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
3rd
- 9:51
Brett Kulak · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brady Tkachuk, OT 0:38 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.92 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.0
- 1.62 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.5
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 2.97
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 27
- Hits
- 31
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 14
- Giveaways
- 10
- 6
- Takeaways
- 15
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 3-1
2@
1OTthis game
2@
3OTFinal
2@
1OTFinal
3@
0Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
