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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV SUN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 2-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 8:28 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were TBL 23, MTL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (38 saves, .974), 2. Nick Suzuki, 3. Max Domi (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    M. Domi1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL290707223
MTLMTL112014013139

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:42
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    5:48
  3. TBL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    8:28

Penalties

TBL 15 PIM·MTL 9 PIM

1st

  • 3:42TBLYanni Gourde · Trippingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 11:31TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 15:39TBLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 15:39MTLMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 18:27TBLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Dale Weise5 min
  • 18:27MTLDale Weise · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min

3rd

  • 10:46MTLBen Chiarot · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 10:46TBLVictor Hedman · Slashingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 12:18TBLOndrej Palat · Trippingdrawn by Shea Weber2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 1st 8:28 — TBL 46% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.19S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.18J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.15B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.12M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.12P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.10L. Vejdemo · On goal · xG 0.09N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.09N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.08B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.06J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.05J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · Goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.02D. Weise · Missed · xG 0.01J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.00L. Vejdemo · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL1 G · 2.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
1.52 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.52 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL36%64%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.48 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
23
Shots on goal
39
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/0
Power play
0/3
15
Penalty minutes
9
29
Hits
28
21
Blocked shots
8
15
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000040.13030—24:57
77V. HedmanD000+100.04024—21:43
81E. CernakD011000.01440—21:01
98M. SergachevD000010.02220—20:13
71A. CirelliC011010.092104020:06
22K. ShattenkirkD000000.00120—18:50
21B. PointC011+120.120005018:11
91S. StamkosC101+130.190204517:31
86N. KucherovR101+120.16200—17:10
18O. PalatL000+100.04212—17:00
17A. KillornL000010.12100—16:46
13C. PaquetteC000030.274103314:12
55B. CoburnD000+110.01220—13:22
9T. JohnsonC000000.043106711:50
14P. MaroonL000020.06107—10:49
37Y. GourdeC000-130.16402010:23
23C. VerhaegheC000000.08000008:19
67M. StephensC000000.001002207:24
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)39381.9742.19+1.1960:00

Season series

TBL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).