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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
Montréal Canadiens
1
FinalTV NBCSN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Johnson's goal at 2:01 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were TBL 22, MTL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jeff Petry (1 G), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Petry1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL172906322
MTLMTL19011014134

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Petry(2)PPG
    M. Domi (3)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    15:46
  2. TBL
    B. Coburn(1)
    S. Stamkos (4), N. Kucherov (4)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:53

2nd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(4)PPG
    V. Hedman (5), N. Kucherov (5)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    1:04
  2. TBL
    T. Johnson(2)
    O. Palat (1), R. McDonagh (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    2:01

Penalties

TBL 10 PIM·MTL 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:22TBLYanni Gourde · Slashingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min

2nd

  • 0:31MTLBrett Kulak · Holdingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 9:16TBLVictor Hedman · Roughingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 13:27TBLMikhail Sergachev · Holding the stickdrawn by Paul Byron2 min

3rd

  • 4:35TBLNikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 13:10TBLKevin Shattenkirk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Johnson, 2nd 2:01 — TBL 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.23M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.16T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.11M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.11N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.09M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.06J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.06T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.05J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.05J. Petry · Goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.04N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.03J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL1 G · 2.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
2.63 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.82 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL48%52%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
22
Shots on goal
34
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/1
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
37
Hits
22
25
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD011+110.03060—26:36
81E. CernakD000000.03620—21:17
17A. KillornL000000.50210—19:48
77V. HedmanD011010.10022—19:20
22K. ShattenkirkD000020.02212—19:02
71A. CirelliC000010.132104418:02
18O. PalatL011+110.10120—17:14
98M. SergachevD000+230.04332—17:14
91S. StamkosC112+110.140203316:56
21B. PointC000+110.092003316:20
55B. CoburnD101+110.12310—16:18
86N. KucherovR022+110.18112—16:09
37Y. GourdeC000+120.140123313:27
7M. JosephR000010.15210—13:26
9T. JohnsonC101+120.101006013:23
14P. MaroonL000030.2431010009:17
23C. VerhaegheC000010.53000009:00
28L. WitkowskiD000000.00900—07:47
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)34331.9712.18+1.1860:00

Season series

TBL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).