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Hurricanes at Rangers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
New York Rangers
▸5
FinalTV FS-CR, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-3. The Hurricanes scored first; the Rangers answered. The Rangers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 1:27 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were CAR 42, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. James Reimer stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.2 goals below expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mika Zibanejad (2 G, 1 A), 3. Chris Kreider (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR115113114342
NYRNYR1931015524

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    L. Wallmark(7)
    T. Teravainen (31)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:15
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(13)PPG
    C. Kreider (12), T. DeAngelo (19)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    16:31

2nd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(11)
    M. Zibanejad (15)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:27
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin(21)
    F. Chytil (4), J. Trouba (13)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    7:29
  3. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(14)PPG
    T. DeAngelo (20), A. Panarin (26)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    13:14
  4. CAR
    B. Pesce(4)
    L. Wallmark (10), B. McGinn (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    17:11

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(22)
    N. Niederreiter (14), J. Edmundson (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    1:40
  2. NYR
    R. Strome(8)
    A. Panarin (27), J. Trouba (14)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    3-5
    13:49

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:09NYRChris Kreider · Trippingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 14:01NYRAdam Fox · Delaying game puck over glassdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
  • 16:24CARWarren Foegele · Interferencedrawn by Chris Kreider2 min

2nd

  • 2:39NYRRyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 4:37NYRBrendan Lemieux · Trippingdrawn by James Reimer2 min
  • 9:36CARJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min
  • 12:18CARJake Gardiner · Interferencedrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

3rd

  • 4:12CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 16:54NYRChris Kreider · Illegal check to headdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCAR goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 1:27 — NYR 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.26M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.23M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.20T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.20C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.18R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.14J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.14A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.12J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.11R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.11R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.08A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.06R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.04R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.00B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 2.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYR
4.03 G
All situations
5 G2.8
2.53 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.50 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR69%31%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.94 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYR
42
Shots on goal
24
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/5
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
14
6
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
20
11
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19D. HamiltonD000+170.27120—26:19
20S. AhoC101060.570023320:18
74J. SlavinD000+120.03110—20:13
37A. SvechnikovR000010.12110—19:59
56E. HaulaL000-100.441007019:58
86T. TeravainenC011+120.18000019:34
11J. StaalC000-120.511005617:27
22B. PesceD101-130.33110—17:13
51J. GardinerD000020.05102—16:32
18R. DzingelC000-230.69000016:27
88M. NecasC000-230.24100015:09
13W. FoegeleL000010.05102—14:51
6J. EdmundsonD011-110.04202—14:36
57T. van RiemsdykD000020.03300—13:59
21N. NiederreiterR011020.09010—12:38
71L. WallmarkC112+250.370005011:27
48J. MartinookL000+100.00100—10:18
23B. McGinnL011+200.00200—10:11
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)24195.7922.83-2.1757:48

Season series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).