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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
2
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-CR·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 14:32 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 32% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.2 to 3.3; shots on goal were NYR 19, CAR 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 45 of 47 (.957), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Henrik Lundqvist (45 saves, .957), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (2 A), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist45 saves, .957
  2. ★★
    NYR
    P. Buchnevich2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR161825419
CARCAR022112113247

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin(8)
    R. Strome (9), J. Fast (5)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    19:32

2nd period

  1. CAR
    D. Hamilton(7)
    J. Slavin (9), T. Teravainen (9)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    14:32
  2. NYR
    B. Lemieux(1)PPG
    T. DeAngelo (7), P. Buchnevich (9)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    18:04

3rd period

  1. NYR
    F. Chytil(3)
    P. Buchnevich (10)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    1:15
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(6)
    R. Dzingel (8), M. Necas (7)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    3-2
    15:58
  3. NYR
    A. Fox(2)EN
    A. Panarin (8)
    wristxG 0.68win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    18:35

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:32NYRLias Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 9:10NYRMarc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

2nd

  • 7:45CARJake Gardiner · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 17:46CARBrett Pesce · Trippingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, 2nd 14:32 — CAR 32% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.18R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.18W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.17L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.15N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.14W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.12B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.12B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.11M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.11R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.08J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.06B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.06L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.04L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 4.2 xG · 73 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
3.33 G
All situations
2 G4.2
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR21%79%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 4.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
19
Shots on goal
47
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
4
7
Giveaways
18
11
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000+110.07350—23:55
25L. HajekD000+110.12440—20:54
23A. FoxD101-110.69130—20:39
10A. PanarinL112+120.20000—18:11
55R. LindgrenD000-100.00100—18:05
20C. KreiderL000+120.400105017:40
21B. HowdenC000000.020004617:36
72F. ChytilC101+110.400002017:36
89P. BuchnevichL022+100.00200—17:20
18M. StaalD000+100.00022—16:56
17J. FastR011000.00120—16:10
77T. DeAngeloD011+110.01000—15:49
16R. StromeC011+100.021003315:47
24K. KakkoR000+140.87000—13:53
48B. LemieuxL101030.30300—13:40
42B. SmithD000-120.04100—11:22
14G. McKeggC000-100.19000010:30
28L. AnderssonC000-110.011025009:57
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(W)47452.9574.23+2.2360:00

Season series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).