Skip to content
Hurricanes at Rangers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
2
New York Rangers
▸3
FinalTV FS-CR, MSG+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Warren Foegele's goal at 15:58 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 11% to 26%. Expected goals were close — CAR 3.5, NYR 3.4; shots on goal were CAR 43, NYR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Henrik Lundqvist stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Henrik Lundqvist (41 saves, .953), 2. Artemi Panarin (2 A), 3. Adam Fox (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist41 saves, .953
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR010216017243
NYRNYR3110905325

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(5)PPG
    A. Fox (9), A. Panarin (19)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:54
  2. NYR
    B. Smith(2)
    R. Lindgren (5), T. DeAngelo (11)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    4:12
  3. NYR
    A. Fox(4)
    A. Panarin (20), L. Hajek (5)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    18:20

2nd period

  1. CAR
    R. Dzingel(5)PPG
    D. Hamilton (16), A. Svechnikov (17)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    14:29
  2. CAR
    W. Foegele(4)
    J. Slavin (12)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    15:58

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:48CARJoel Edmundson · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 2:39CARJordan Martinook · Hookingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 13:44NYRMika Zibanejad · Trippingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

2nd

  • 10:02NYRAdam Fox · Slashingdrawn by Haydn Fleury2 min
  • 10:54CARNino Niederreiter · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 13:27NYRserved by P. Buchnevich · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:24NYRRyan Strome · High stickingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min

3rd

  • 10:29CARDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 16:50NYRFilip Chytil · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Wallmark2 min
  • 19:24CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCAR goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Warren Foegele, 2nd 15:58 — CAR 11% → 26%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.35J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.22B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.18F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.18F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.15C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.13F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.11R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.10R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.10A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.10B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.08J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.08A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.08K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.05B. Nieves · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · Goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hajek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.00R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 3.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYR
3.52 G
All situations
3 G3.4
2.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR57%43%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYR
43
Shots on goal
25
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/5
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
27
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
22
11
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19D. HamiltonD011060.36202—27:48
86T. TeravainenC000030.1800010021:38
20S. AhoC000+130.231025821:10
74J. SlavinD011+110.03030—21:07
37A. SvechnikovR011060.56300—18:20
22B. PesceD000000.01130—18:07
18R. DzingelC101030.25100016:59
11J. StaalC000-120.173104816:27
21N. NiederreiterR000000.12202—16:17
6J. EdmundsonD000-110.01222—15:38
51J. GardinerD000-130.06000—15:17
4H. FleuryD000-130.41000—14:44
71L. WallmarkC000010.082008814:32
13W. FoegeleL101090.92200—13:09
88M. NecasC000010.04300013:04
23B. McGinnL000-100.06100—12:11
48J. MartinookL000-110.02112—09:46
43E. LuostarinenC000-100.003104009:01
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)25223.8803.07+0.0757:54

Season series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).