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Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SNP, SNW·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Quinn Hughes's goal at 13:48 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 59% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 29, VAN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Quinn Hughes (1 G), 2. Oscar Klefbom (1 G), 3. Bo Horvat (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    O. Klefbom1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1911109229
VANVAN1701338428

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:15
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:40

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    3:02

3rd period

  1. VAN
    T. Pearson (14), C. Tanev (10)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    4:12
  2. VAN
    Q. Hughes(3)PPG
    J. Miller (21), B. Boeser (23)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +29 pts
    2-3
    13:48
  3. VAN
    A. Edler (12), T. Pearson (15)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:46

Penalties

EDM 11 PIM·VAN 11 PIM

1st

  • 9:14EDMGaetan Haas · Slashingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

2nd

  • 2:15VANAntoine Roussel · Interferencedrawn by Caleb Jones2 min
  • 11:58EDMDarnell Nurse · Fightingdrawn by Antoine Roussel5 min
  • 11:58VANAntoine Roussel · Fightingdrawn by Darnell Nurse5 min
  • 14:12EDMPatrick Russell · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 14:12VANElias Pettersson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mikko Koskinen2 min

3rd

  • 7:53VANTanner Pearson · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 12:43EDMserved by J. Nygard · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalEDM goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Quinn Hughes, 3rd 13:48 — VAN 59% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Eriksson · Goal · xG 0.91B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.11L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.10J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.10B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.09Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.07T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.05T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.04J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.04T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.03J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVAN
1.82 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM46%54%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVAN
29
Shots on goal
28
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
1/2
11
Penalty minutes
11
13
Hits
21
20
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
3
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD101-220.07160—25:05
74E. BearD000050.09000—23:27
29L. DraisaitlC011-310.160004422:30
6A. LarssonD000-110.04020—21:35
25D. NurseD000030.13245—21:33
97C. McDavidC011-320.051006320:55
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101030.240005018:44
44Z. KassianR000-210.11210—17:35
18J. NealL000000.00100—15:50
39A. ChiassonR000+110.05000—14:03
15J. ArchibaldR000020.18300—13:22
4K. RussellD000020.01110—13:05
23R. SheahanC000000.050004513:03
82C. JonesD011000.00030—12:15
10J. NygardL000000.14010—11:17
60M. GranlundC000000.00200011:01
91G. HaasC000-130.290121410:54
52P. RussellR000030.17012—09:55
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)27243.8891.97-1.0358:17

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).