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Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SN, SN360·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 14:37 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 33, EDM 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.1 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A), 2. Tanner Pearson (1 G), 3. Zack Kassian (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Pearson1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Kassian1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN01219112233
EDMEDM190627322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:42

2nd period

  1. VAN
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    11:58

3rd period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +32 pts
    2-1
    9:41
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.06win prob +32 pts
    2-2
    10:52
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.27win prob +37 pts
    2-3
    14:37

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:58VANJ.T. Miller · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 4:31EDMColby Cave · Delaying game smothering puck2 min
  • 9:57EDMserved by J. Nygard · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:14VANserved by M. Ferland · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:43EDMMatt Benning · Slashingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min

3rd

  • 5:31EDMserved by J. Nygard · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVAN goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 3rd 14:37 — EDM 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.27L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.14A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.13J. Nygard · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Kassian · Goal · xG 0.06O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.06J. Nygard · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.06A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 1.9 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsEDM
2.92 G
All situations
3 G1.9
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN68%32%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsEDM
33
Shots on goal
22
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
24
17
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD101050.11030—25:40
43Q. HughesD011000.00110—23:07
57T. MyersD011010.05220—21:42
8C. TanevD000-100.00140—20:42
6B. BoeserR011-120.16000—20:40
9J. MillerC011+100.111028319:51
40E. PetterssonC000-120.392104419:34
79M. FerlandL000-120.10200—17:36
53B. HorvatC000010.131005616:27
70T. PearsonL1010111.12110—16:08
17J. LeivoL000+150.49110—14:41
20B. SutterC000010.020104214:13
4J. BennD000-100.06200—13:21
21L. ErikssonL000-110.01000—13:12
83J. BeagleC000000.001305011:10
51T. StecherD000-120.03200—10:43
59T. SchallerL000000.05100—09:48
18J. VirtanenR000000.07300—09:11
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)22193.8641.88-1.1258:14

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).