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Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SN, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Pearson's goal at 13:47 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals were close — VAN 2.7, EDM 2.5; shots on goal were VAN 38, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Mike Smith stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tanner Pearson (2 G, 2 A), 2. Bo Horvat (3 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Pearson2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN21721318538
EDMEDM1711508230

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    3:31
  2. VAN
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    13:32
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    14:14

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:05
  2. VAN
    B. Horvat (13), Q. Hughes (20)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    13:47
  3. VAN
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    18:04

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    5-2
    1:21

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:04EDMZack Kassian · Chargingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 12:03VANLoui Eriksson · Hookingdrawn by Caleb Jones2 min
  • 15:01EDMMarkus Granlund · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min

2nd

  • 9:40VANTyler Graovac · High stickingdrawn by Oscar Klefbom2 min

3rd

  • 1:30VANAdam Gaudette · Trippingdrawn by Gaetan Haas2 min
  • 7:13EDMEthan Bear · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVAN goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Tanner Pearson, 2nd 13:47 — VAN 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.23L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.14A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.12D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Kassian · Goal · xG 0.09M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.09S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.09J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.09M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.08P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.08G. Haas · Missed · xG 0.08R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.08S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.08D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsEDM
2.75 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.61 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN54%46%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsEDM
38
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
9
15
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. TanevD000-100.03010—24:32
53B. HorvatC033+240.480004522:58
9J. MillerC011020.290106021:48
57T. MyersD000+340.16110—21:23
43Q. HughesD011+130.10000—20:38
40E. PetterssonC000-140.3301010018:01
6B. BoeserR000-160.37010—17:33
4J. BennD000000.08320—17:29
70T. PearsonL224+240.22000—17:03
23A. EdlerD000020.02120—16:18
21L. ErikssonL101+120.29022—16:04
17J. LeivoL101+120.05000—15:01
51T. StecherD000+110.02120—14:52
88A. GaudetteR011000.000123613:31
18J. VirtanenR011+130.07210—13:16
59T. SchallerL000000.11400—10:06
44T. GraovacC101010.11002007:14
71Z. MacEwenR000000.00310—05:59
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)30282.9332.49+0.4960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).