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Blackhawks at Avalanche
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
▸5
Colorado Avalanche
3
FinalTV ESPN+, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-3. The Blackhawks came back from two goals down. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kubalik's goal at 16:43 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 48% to 90%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.1, COL 2.0; shots on goal were CHI 32, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.0 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Toews (1 G, 2 A), 2. Matt Calvert (2 G), 3. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    J. Toews1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Calvert2 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI06115411532
COLCOL11221009331

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    R. Graves(6)
    J. Donskoi (15), T. Jost (5)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:01

2nd period

  1. CHI
    J. Toews(8)
    P. Kane (26)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    0:21
  2. COL
    M. Calvert(7)
    T. Jost (6), R. Graves (9)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:40
  3. COL
    M. Calvert(8)
    V. Nichushkin (5), I. Cole (13)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    19:09

3rd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane(20)
    D. Kubalik (6), J. Toews (18)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    11:22
  2. CHI
    K. Dach(6)
    E. Gustafsson (11), R. Carpenter (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +33 pts
    3-3
    11:50
  3. CHI
    D. Kubalik(10)
    J. Toews (19), D. Gilbert (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +42 pts
    4-3
    16:43
  4. CHI
    C. Murphy(3)EN
    D. Kampf (4)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:21

Penalties

CHI 11 PIM·COL 11 PIM

1st

  • 3:47CHIOlli Maatta · Hookingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

2nd

  • 5:40COLRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 8:30COLGabriel Landeskog · Fightingdrawn by Dennis Gilbert5 min
  • 8:30CHIDennis Gilbert · Fightingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog5 min
  • 12:34COLErik Johnson · Holdingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 15:41CHIMatthew Highmore · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

3rd

  • 7:59CHIDennis Gilbert · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 12:07COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCHI goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Dominik Kubalik, 3rd 16:43 — CHI 48% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.38M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.24N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Calvert · Goal · xG 0.08M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Goal · xG 0.02M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02M. Calvert · Goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCOL
2.14 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.34 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI43%57%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCOL
32
Shots on goal
31
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
21
Hits
27
16
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
10
11
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000+120.02120—26:24
5C. MurphyD101+330.50450—24:47
56E. GustafssonD011+120.08110—21:33
88P. KaneR112+220.09000—21:06
19J. ToewsC123+210.231107119:22
27A. BoqvistD000020.09110—17:34
64D. KampfC011+110.030004016:05
15Z. SmithC000+120.17320016:01
22R. CarpenterC011000.001108815:34
12A. DeBrincatR000+230.16200—14:58
77K. DachC101+140.09000014:50
8D. KubalikL112+330.30100—14:32
92A. NylanderL000-210.02000—14:24
6O. MaattaD000-110.02112—14:08
17D. StromeC000-210.052003313:39
39D. GilbertD011-100.00317—12:48
36M. HighmoreC000020.12012009:18
95D. SikuraR000-120.16000—06:57
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)31283.9031.99-1.0160:00

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).