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Blackhawks at Avalanche
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
3
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
FinalTV ESPN+, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 7-3. The Blackhawks scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 7-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 11:08 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were CHI 29, COL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 0.9 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Joonas Donskoi (2 G, 2 A), 2. Nazem Kadri (2 G), 3. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Donskoi2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. Kadri2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI11216111329
COLCOL31141305729

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    B. Saad(8)SHG
    Z. Smith (4)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    1:37
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(9)PPG
    M. Rantanen (8), N. MacKinnon (24)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    7:53
  3. COL
    N. Kadri(10)
    M. Nieto (7), S. Girard (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:18
  4. COL
    N. MacKinnon(17)
    M. Rantanen (9), J. Donskoi (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    11:08

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Donskoi(10)
    R. Graves (6), I. Cole (10)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +10 pts
    1-4
    2:52
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(6)
    S. Girard (9), J. Donskoi (11)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    5:50
  3. COL
    J. Donskoi(11)
    N. MacKinnon (25), M. Rantanen (10)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    8:28
  4. COL
    T. Jost(5)
    T. Tynan (1)
    wristxG 0.10
    1-7
    10:38
  5. CHI
    D. Kubalik(6)
    D. Kampf (3), O. Maatta (7)
    wristxG 0.12
    2-7
    11:14

3rd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane(14)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (6), J. Toews (10)
    wristxG 0.15
    3-7
    14:38

Penalties

CHI 13 PIM·COL 17 PIM

1st

  • 0:26CHIJonathan Toews · Slashingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min
  • 7:22CHIAnton Wedin · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 17:23COLSamuel Girard · Fightingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat5 min
  • 17:23CHIAlex DeBrincat · Fightingdrawn by Samuel Girard5 min
  • 17:35COLTyson Jost · Holdingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 18:37COLRyan Graves · High sticking double minordrawn by Andrew Shaw4 min

2nd

  • 14:24CHIErik Gustafsson · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Kamenev2 min

3rd

  • 2:35COLCalle Rosen · Trippingdrawn by Alex Nylander2 min
  • 9:32CHIAndrew Shaw · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 13:05COLVladislav Kamenev · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Shaw2 min
  • 13:29COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCHI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 1st 11:08 — COL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.40J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.18N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.10T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.08J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.07C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Tynan · Missed · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.05N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.05P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.05C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tynan · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00
COL7 G · 2.6 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCOL
2.83 G
All situations
7 G2.6
1.21 G
Even strength
6 G2.1
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI55%45%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/6
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
17
17
Hits
16
6
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
4
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
56E. GustafssonD011-200.00102—22:04
88P. KaneR101-350.67000—22:02
5C. MurphyD000-200.00240—19:48
44C. de HaanD000-250.06400—19:07
7B. SeabrookD000-120.20110—19:01
19J. ToewsC011-350.460024118:39
6O. MaattaD011000.00110—17:27
20B. SaadL101-130.68000—15:56
68S. KoekkoekD000-100.00200—15:34
22R. CarpenterC000-200.030001815:10
12A. DeBrincatR000-250.3310510014:58
64D. KampfC011+100.000008214:53
77K. DachC000-100.00000014:16
92A. NylanderL000-210.15200—14:15
65A. ShawR000-200.021025014:10
15Z. SmithC011+100.061005613:31
8D. KubalikL101020.13100—11:46
57A. WedinL000+110.04002—10:52
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford15132.8671.08-0.9234:10
40R. Lehner(L)1495.6431.47-3.5325:50

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).