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Avalanche at Blackhawks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Chicago Blackhawks
2
FinalTV ALT, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Graves's goal at 3:17 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 23, CHI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Corey Crawford stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 3 A), 2. J.T. Compher (1 G, 2 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Compher1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL372709523
CHICHI11011907236

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(16)
    J. Compher (10)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:59
  2. COL
    R. Graves(3)
    M. Nieto (6), N. MacKinnon (21)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    3:17
  3. CHI
    Z. Smith(1)
    R. Carpenter (7)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    9:14
  4. COL
    C. Makar(8)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (22), J. Compher (11)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    3-1
    12:20

2nd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(2)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    9:45
  2. COL
    J. Compher(3)
    N. MacKinnon (23)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    11:26
  3. CHI
    P. Kane(13)
    J. Toews (9), B. Saad (8)
    backhandxG 0.40win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    19:56

Penalties

COL 9 PIM·CHI 13 PIM

1st

  • 5:25COLRyan Graves · Fightingdrawn by Andrew Shaw5 min
  • 5:25CHIAndrew Shaw · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Graves5 min
  • 12:09CHIErik Gustafsson · Interferencedrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 18:26CHIErik Gustafsson · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 5:05COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Trippingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min

3rd

  • 19:32CHIAndrew Shaw · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 19:32CHIAndrew Shaw · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 19:32COLNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Shaw2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCOL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Graves, 1st 3:17 — COL 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.40B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.29P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.20Z. Smith · Goal · xG 0.17J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.17R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.16B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.12D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.12A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.12E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.09A. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.05B. Seabrook · Missed · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.03K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI2 G · 3.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCHI
2.15 G
All situations
2 G3.4
2.04 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL28%72%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 3.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCHI
23
Shots on goal
36
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
0/1
9
Penalty minutes
13
31
Hits
33
21
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16N. ZadorovD000010.18742—23:11
49S. GirardD000+200.00210—22:39
8C. MakarD101+220.19110—19:43
28I. ColeD000-210.01230—18:55
29N. MacKinnonC134+320.111002918:18
13V. NichushkinR101+140.35320—17:36
37J. CompherL123+110.091005617:02
91N. KadriC000-120.250006416:58
72J. DonskoiR000+110.26010—16:45
27R. GravesD101+320.09125—16:43
25L. O'ConnorR000+120.10010—16:22
48C. RosenD000-120.03020—16:03
83M. NietoL011+200.00000—15:42
41P. BellemareL000+100.071125015:17
17T. JostC000010.26110014:31
81V. KamenevC000-110.072002511:12
36T. TynanC000-110.02200011:01
15S. DriesC000-100.00720010:02
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)36342.9443.42+1.4260:00

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).