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Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Edmonton Oilers 2-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 8:04 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were EDM 36, STL 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 42 of 44 (.955), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (35 saves, .972), 2. Brayden Schenn (1 G), 3. Jay Bouwmeester.

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Allen35 saves, .972
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Bouwmeester

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM01008118136
STLSTL015119110244

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    8:04

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:23
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +6 pts
    1-2
    18:10

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:56EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min
  • 16:35STLOskar Sundqvist · Holdingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min
  • 19:23STLAlex Pietrangelo · Slashingdrawn by Gaetan Haas2 min

2nd

  • 3:16EDMOscar Klefbom · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 3:46EDMKris Russell · Cross checkingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 9:18EDMOscar Klefbom · Trippingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 10:28STLRobert Thomas · Interferencedrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min
  • 14:13EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 18:10STLserved by D. Perron · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalEDM goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 2nd 8:04 — STL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.34J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.25J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.18B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.17T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.15A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.15M. MacEachern · Goal · xG 0.13A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.08O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 3.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSTL
3.21 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.70 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM43%57%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 3.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSTL
36
Shots on goal
44
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
3
5
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000020.04024—26:02
29L. DraisaitlC011-180.780005023:41
97C. McDavidC000030.360125722:19
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000+150.271025821:44
25D. NurseD000-120.12010—21:21
74E. BearD000-100.00010—20:29
6A. LarssonD000000.00020—19:49
18J. NealL101040.33000—17:49
44Z. KassianR011020.36100—17:11
82C. JonesD000-120.05130—13:29
10J. NygardL000010.20000—13:24
4K. RussellD000000.00012—12:50
39A. ChiassonR000020.20100—12:14
89S. GagnerC000-120.0900010011:53
16J. KhairaL000020.30310—10:48
15J. ArchibaldR000000.00100—09:38
23R. SheahanC000010.071002208:56
91G. HaasC000000.002106708:34
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)44422.9553.64+1.6457:49

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).