St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Oilers scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Thomas's goal at 15:18 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.1 to 3.7; shots on goal were STL 25, EDM 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (32 saves, .941), 2. Alex Pietrangelo (1 G, 2 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Allen32 saves, .941

- ★★A. Pietrangelo1 G, 2 A

- ★★★C. McDavid1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-12:46
1-16:02
2nd period
2-17:10
3-115:18
3rd period
3-211:02
4-219:01
5-219:27
Penalties
1st
- 1:55
Robert Thomas · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Manning2 min
- 5:44
Tomas Jurco · Trippingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
2nd
- 6:04
Leon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
- 12:04
Alex Chiasson · Kneeingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
- 19:00
Justin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min
3rd
- 17:32
Brayden Schenn · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Robert Thomas, 2nd 15:18 — 69% → 86%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.73 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.1
- 2.31 G
- Even strength
- 1 G3.3
- 0.52 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 4.11
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 20
- Hits
- 15
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 7
- Giveaways
- 18
- 11
- Takeaways
- 16
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
