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St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV FS-MW, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Oilers scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Thomas's goal at 15:18 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.1 to 3.7; shots on goal were STL 25, EDM 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (32 saves, .941), 2. Alex Pietrangelo (1 G, 2 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Allen32 saves, .941
  2. ★★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL172929525
EDMEDM17012115234

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    2:46
  2. STL
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    6:02

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    7:10
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    15:18

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    11:02
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.40win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    19:01
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.54
    5-2
    19:27

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:55STLRobert Thomas · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Manning2 min
  • 5:44EDMTomas Jurco · Trippingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

2nd

  • 6:04EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 12:04EDMAlex Chiasson · Kneeingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 19:00STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min

3rd

  • 17:32STLBrayden Schenn · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSTL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Robert Thomas, 2nd 15:18 — STL 69% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.50Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.24L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.23A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.23A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.21L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.19J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.16J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.13S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10T. Jurco · Missed · xG 0.07A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.06G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.05M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.05B. Manning · Missed · xG 0.05C. Cave · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Kassian · Goal · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01P. Russell · Missed · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 4.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsEDM
3.73 G
All situations
2 G4.1
2.31 G
Even strength
1 G3.3
0.52 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL28%72%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 4.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsEDM
25
Shots on goal
34
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
15
15
Blocked shots
21
7
Giveaways
18
11
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19J. BouwmeesterD000+110.03300—22:26
27A. PietrangeloD123+110.03010—22:12
55C. ParaykoD011+140.54010—21:50
72J. FaulkD011010.04242—21:38
90R. O'ReillyC011+130.190206720:31
10B. SchennC011+100.002026318:36
17J. SchwartzL112+110.13000—17:49
57D. PerronL011030.42100—16:40
18R. ThomasC101+110.353023316:21
49I. BarbashevL101020.614005015:21
4C. GunnarssonD011+100.00040—15:10
29V. DunnD000030.15010—14:36
12Z. SanfordL000010.41000—14:15
9S. BlaisL000000.00300—14:10
21T. BozakC101+120.410105313:49
70O. SundqvistC000000.001105013:40
20A. SteenL000000.0100010008:34
28M. MacEachernL000-120.36100—07:53
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)34322.9414.11+2.1159:38

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).