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Hurricanes at Capitals
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBC, SN1·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Carolina Hurricanes 6-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicklas Backstrom's goal at 14:21 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were CAR 30, WSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 2.8 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nicklas Backstrom (2 G, 2 A), 2. Braden Holtby (30 saves, 1.000), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    B. Holtby30 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0601509030
WSHWSH11027311628

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    7:33

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    14:21
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    16:11

3rd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.37win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    1:04
  2. WSH
    N. Dowd(1)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21
    0-5
    8:57
  3. WSH
    slapxG 0.02
    0-6
    10:14

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·WSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:08CARSaku Maenalanen · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 4:41WSHBrett Connolly · Hookingdrawn by Saku Maenalanen2 min
  • 5:42CARLucas Wallmark · High stickingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min

2nd

  • 4:18WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · High stickingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 7:56WSHJohn Carlson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Petr Mrazek2 min
  • 12:02WSHJonas Siegenthaler · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 19:07CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by John Carlson2 min

3rd

  • 8:57CARDougie Hamilton · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Nic Dowd0 min
  • 10:12CARLucas Wallmark · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 17:29WSHNick Jensen · Hookingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCAR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Nicklas Backstrom, 2nd 14:21 — WSH 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.37C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.24N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.21N. Dowd · Goal · xG 0.21B. Connolly · Goal · xG 0.17N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.14E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.14N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.13B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.12D. Smith-Pelly · Missed · xG 0.12N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.10T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.09C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.06E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH6 G · 3.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsWSH
1.70 G
All situations
6 G3.3
1.40 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
3 G1.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR23%77%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsWSH
30
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/5
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
32
Hits
48
17
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-210.17160—24:55
27J. FaulkD000030.12220—22:11
19D. HamiltonD000-120.07020—21:09
22B. PesceD000-100.00030—19:18
71L. WallmarkC000010.022045018:44
23B. McGinnL000-130.06200—18:16
20S. AhoC000-170.602025017:49
11J. StaalC000010.143005917:44
86T. TeravainenC000-130.100004017:40
14J. WilliamsR000010.031002016:07
13W. FoegeleL000000.11100—15:58
57T. van RiemsdykD000040.06210—15:10
21N. NiederreiterR000-110.06110—14:44
44C. de HaanD000000.00210—13:13
8S. MaenalanenR000-110.01302—12:40
36P. BrownC000010.128106710:58
42G. McKeggC000-110.011002509:36
15A. SaarelaC000000.00100009:10
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)28226.7863.25-2.7558:48

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).