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Capitals at Hurricanes
NHL

Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸2
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-CR·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Washington Capitals 2-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teuvo Teravainen's goal at 19:32 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 31, CAR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Petr Mrazek stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Petr Mrazek (30 saves, .968), 2. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G), 3. Warren Foegele (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    P. Mrazek30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    W. Foegele1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0911408131
CARCAR181907224

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    W. Foegele(3)
    J. Slavin (5), J. Williams (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:17

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(2)PPG
    D. Orlov (2), L. Eller (1)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    10:35
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(1)
    N. Niederreiter (1), S. Aho (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    19:32

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:53WSHJakub Vrana · Chargingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 4:13CARserved by J. Williams · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 8:42CARTeuvo Teravainen · Hookingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 12:39WSHJohn Carlson · Holdingdrawn by Lucas Wallmark2 min

3rd

  • 14:52CARWarren Foegele · Boardingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalWSH goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Teuvo Teravainen, 2nd 19:32 — CAR 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.54L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.19W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.18T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.16B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.16S. Maenalanen · Missed · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.11G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.08J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.06J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.06L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.05B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.04T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 2.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsCAR
2.81 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH70%30%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 1.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsCAR
31
Shots on goal
24
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
33
Hits
34
18
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000050.41152—25:31
9D. OrlovD011-220.04100—21:41
8A. OvechkinL101-120.28310—21:33
19N. BackstromC000-110.174005020:19
2M. NiskanenD000-100.00230—20:06
20L. EllerC011-120.191105819:05
3N. JensenD000020.17100—17:37
43T. WilsonR000020.28300—17:10
77T. OshieR000-120.20520—16:54
92E. KuznetsovC000040.170004616:18
44B. OrpikD000-110.00330—16:03
10B. ConnollyR000-110.22200—14:23
65A. BurakovskyL000-100.00000—14:08
13J. VranaL000040.58202—13:55
34J. SiegenthalerD000000.00100—12:08
62C. HagelinL000020.02210—11:02
26N. DowdC000000.002106710:06
72T. BoydC000010.04010010:04
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)24222.9171.68-0.3257:57

Series

CAR leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).