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Hurricanes at Capitals
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Washington Capitals
▸4
Final/OTTV NBC, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in overtime, Brooks Orpik scoring at 1:48. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brooks Orpik's goal at 1:48 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 28, WSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.6 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Brooks Orpik (1 G), 2. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Staal (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    B. Orpik1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR1121611000328
WSHWSH270161911433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(3)
    A. Ovechkin (1), D. Orlov (1)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:37
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(1)
    E. Kuznetsov (2), M. Niskanen (1)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:26
  3. CAR
    L. Wallmark(1)
    J. Slavin (1), W. Foegele (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:54

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(1)
    J. Williams (1), J. Slavin (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    16:49

3rd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(1)
    A. Ovechkin (2), N. Backstrom (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +30 pts
    2-3
    8:55
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(1)PPG
    D. Hamilton (2), A. Svechnikov (1)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    15:00

Overtime

  1. WSH
    B. Orpik(1)
    E. Kuznetsov (3), T. Oshie (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    1:48

Penalties

CAR 16 PIM·WSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:52CARTrevor van Riemsdyk · Slashingdrawn by Brett Connolly2 min
  • 10:32WSHBrett Connolly · Interferencedrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 16:24WSHAlex Ovechkin · Elbowingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

2nd

  • 1:11CARMicheal Ferland · Hookingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 4:09CARMicheal Ferland · Match penatly 10 minutesdrawn by Nic Dowd10 min
  • 8:18WSHT.J. Oshie · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 9:11WSHNic Dowd · High stickingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 11:36CARDougie Hamilton · Elbowingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

3rd

  • 14:25WSHNic Dowd · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCAR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Brooks Orpik, OT 1:48 — WSH 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.36T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.34T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.19T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.17B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.16T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.14N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.12B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.11N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.11J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.08M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.06D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.05C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.05C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Orpik · Goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.02J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.00T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 3.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsWSH
2.63 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.72 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.91 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR36%64%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsWSH
28
Shots on goal
33
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/5
Power play
0/4
16
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
34
17
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD022+130.18030—28:54
27J. FaulkD000-320.10210—27:58
86T. TeravainenC000-130.27020022:38
19D. HamiltonD011+210.02202—21:43
20S. AhoC101-210.030005421:19
11J. StaalC101030.483005620:28
22B. PesceD000-310.04060—20:22
21N. NiederreiterR000-230.26200—17:32
23B. McGinnL000-110.31320—17:12
37A. SvechnikovR011000.28300—17:04
14J. WilliamsR011-250.340005017:02
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.02322—16:03
71L. WallmarkC101020.110008713:26
48J. MartinookL000010.042105713:09
13W. FoegeleL011+110.01100—08:34
79M. FerlandL000000.001012—06:05
4H. FleuryD000-100.00000—04:22
8S. MaenalanenR000+100.08000—04:16
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)33294.8793.38-0.6261:41

Series

CAR leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).