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Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-N, FS-SW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 3-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 2:44 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 58% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were MIN 24, DAL 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 41 of 44 (.932), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Ben Bishop stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (2 G), 2. Alex Stalock (41 saves, .932), 3. Ben Bishop (24 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    A. Stalock41 saves, .932
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    B. Bishop24 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0705012024
DALDAL014020310344

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(32)PPG
    slapxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    2:44
  2. DAL
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:55
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.23win prob +3 pts
    0-3
    12:01

Penalties

MIN 13 PIM·DAL 11 PIM

1st

  • 11:27DALAlexander Radulov · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 13:39MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

2nd

  • 0:43MINserved by J. Greenway · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:05MINNick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 7:05DALRadek Faksa · Roughingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 9:11DALRadek Faksa · Fightingdrawn by Nick Seeler5 min
  • 9:11MINNick Seeler · Fightingdrawn by Radek Faksa5 min

3rd

  • 2:03MINGreg Pateryn · Trippingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 13:55DALTaylor Fedun · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Seguin, 3rd 2:44 — DAL 58% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.23R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.20J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.18T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.17A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.17T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.17M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.17R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.16B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.15R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.15T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.15R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.14T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.13M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.13T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.13J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.11A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.10E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.10A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.07B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.05M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.05J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.05R. Polak · Missed · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.00T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.00T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.00A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 4.0 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
1.80 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.70 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN17%83%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 3.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
24
Shots on goal
44
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
11
11
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
20
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-110.10010—24:27
46J. SpurgeonD000-120.04110—23:24
25J. BrodinD000-100.00122—20:30
29G. PaterynD000010.02112—19:11
22K. FialaL000-130.44010—18:06
19L. KuninC000-100.011005017:38
77B. HuntD000-110.03010—17:37
12E. StaalC000020.340005016:33
18J. GreenwayL000000.090005016:22
21E. FehrC000-120.151005016:17
17M. FolignoL000-100.00010—15:37
14J. Eriksson EkC000-130.083004015:25
16J. ZuckerL000020.06110—14:31
6R. DonatoC000-120.15000013:59
7N. SturmC000040.251001412:14
36N. SeelerD000000.00017—11:56
49V. RaskC000000.00000011:38
2A. BitettoD000010.02100—07:55
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(L)44413.9324.00+1.0059:59

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).