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Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV FS-N, FS-SW+·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1 in overtime, Alexander Radulov scoring at 4:50. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 4:50 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 27, MIN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Radulov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Devan Dubnyk (25 saves, .926), 3. Ben Bishop (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Radulov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    B. Bishop30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL08081912227
MINMIN090811301131

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.16win prob +25 pts
    1-0
    1:58
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.34win prob +42 pts
    1-1
    17:57

Overtime

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.05win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    4:50

Penalties

DAL 21 PIM·MIN 13 PIM

1st

  • 6:54DALJamie Benn · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 14:12MINNick Seeler · Cross checkingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 16:26MINLuke Kunin · Hookingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

2nd

  • 4:28MINZach Parise · Trippingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 12:31MINLuke Kunin · Fightingdrawn by Roman Polak5 min
  • 12:31DALRoman Polak · Roughingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 12:31DALRoman Polak · Instigatordrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 12:31DALRoman Polak · Fightingdrawn by Luke Kunin5 min
  • 12:31DALRoman Polak · Misconductdrawn by Luke Kunin10 min
  • 17:54MINMikko Koivu · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Alexander Radulov, OT 4:50 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.33E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.21J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.19J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.16M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.16E. Fehr · Missed · xG 0.15N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.14E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.14J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.12J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.11C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.06M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.04J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.04E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01E. Fehr · Missed · xG 0.01J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.00M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.00L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
2.62 G
All situations
1 G3.3
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL39%61%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 3.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
27
Shots on goal
31
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/4
Power play
0/3
21
Penalty minutes
13
25
Hits
27
19
Blocked shots
9
3
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000+110.07210—27:18
3J. KlingbergD011+220.24120—27:02
23E. LindellD000-110.05330—23:55
91T. SeguinC000+120.270104423:47
47A. RadulovR112+260.65110—22:09
14J. BennL101+130.300224320:06
12R. FaksaC000-120.152106418:47
43V. NichushkinR000-110.03200—17:04
90J. SpezzaC000+130.240007616:19
42T. FedunD000010.01000—15:25
13M. JanmarkC011-110.14000015:06
15B. ComeauL000000.11110—14:53
17D. ShoreC000010.13110014:09
45R. PolakD000-100.005119—14:05
34D. GurianovR000010.20100—13:35
44G. BayreutherD000020.03220—11:55
16J. DickinsonC000000.023306706:36
25B. RitchieR000000.00100—06:22
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(W)31301.9683.29+2.2964:47

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).