Skip to content
Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Final/OTTV ALT, TSN3·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2 in overtime, Erik Johnson scoring at 1:49. The Avalanche came back from two goals down. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Johnson's goal at 1:49 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 36, COL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 0.8 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 34 of 36 (.944). Three stars: 1. Erik Johnson (1 G), 2. Tyson Barrie (1 G), 3. Carl Soderberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    E. Johnson1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    T. Barrie1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Soderberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG219080801236
COLCOL01411011311338

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(37)
    K. Connor (31), D. Byfuglien (27)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:12
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(20)
    K. Hayes (36), J. Trouba (42)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:50

2nd period

  1. COL
    T. Barrie(14)
    N. Zadorov (7), C. Wilson (15)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    5:17

3rd period

  1. COL
    C. Soderberg(23)
    T. Jost (15), S. Girard (21)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    10:35

Overtime

  1. COL
    E. Johnson(7)
    N. MacKinnon (58)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:49

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:41WPGBen Chiarot · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 13:22COLGabriel Landeskog · Cross checkingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

2nd

  • 5:17WPGserved by M. Perreault · Delaying game bench2 min
  • 11:55COLAlexander Kerfoot · High stickingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 16:19WPGTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

3rd

  • 8:28WPGKyle Connor · Cross checkingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 18:34COLserved by S. Andrighetto · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Johnson, OT 1:49 — COL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.14E. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.11D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.08J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · Goal · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.05C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.04C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.04S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.04E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.03S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Goal · xG 0.01S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.01G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
1.82 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG41%59%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.73 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
36
Shots on goal
38
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
22
6
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD011-120.12120—25:22
81K. ConnorL011-140.28022—24:19
55M. ScheifeleC101040.401005223:05
8J. TroubaD011030.07020—22:53
26B. WheelerR000050.25100—22:43
7B. ChiarotD000-230.03442—22:35
57T. MyersD000000.02112—19:56
9A. CoppC000-120.05100016:37
18B. LittleC000-210.110101316:37
29P. LaineL000-110.08200—16:28
5D. KulikovD000010.01110—15:15
12K. HayesR011+110.030005812:06
88N. BeaulieuD000+110.01200—12:05
27N. EhlersL101+130.26000—11:58
17A. LowryC000010.013004311:06
85M. PerreaultC000+110.01100009:46
22P. LindholmC000010.03110009:10
28J. RoslovicC000020.04000007:15
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(O)38353.9212.16-0.8461:49

Season series

COL leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).