Skip to content
Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV ALT2, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 5:42 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 79% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were COL 30, WPG 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.1 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (1 G, 4 A), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 2 A), 3. Dustin Byfuglien (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G, 4 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    D. Byfuglien1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL04012214230
WPGWPG280838524

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(7)PPG
    M. Scheifele (8), B. Wheeler (15)
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    10:16
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(7)
    B. Wheeler (16), J. Morrissey (7)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:32

3rd period

  1. COL
    E. Johnson(1)
    C. Soderberg (4), N. Zadorov (2)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:26
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(3)
    B. Wheeler (17)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:42
  3. COL
    T. Jost(2)
    A. Kerfoot (9), T. Barrie (12)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    6:52
  4. WPG
    P. Laine(8)PPG
    B. Wheeler (18), D. Byfuglien (10)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    10:43
  5. WPG
    B. Wheeler(3)EN
    M. Scheifele (9)
    wristxG 0.54win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    18:34

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:08COLPatrik Nemeth · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:29WPGDustin Byfuglien · Roughingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

2nd

  • 7:34COLErik Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 14:01WPGNic Petan · Holdingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 16:00WPGDustin Byfuglien · Trippingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min

3rd

  • 8:17WPGBryan Little · Slashingdrawn by Matt Calvert2 min
  • 10:36COLSheldon Dries · Boardingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 11:56COLAlexander Kerfoot · High stickingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 3rd 5:42 — WPG 79% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.54P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.33K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.26N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.21A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.19A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.18M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.15B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.09P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.08P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.05J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02B. Little · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.00M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.4 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
2.02 G
All situations
4 G3.4
0.92 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.80 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL35%65%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
30
Shots on goal
24
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
28
15
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29N. MacKinnonC000-230.540004023:21
92G. LandeskogL000010.101006722:49
96M. RantanenR000020.15000—22:49
4T. BarrieD011+150.10020—21:46
49S. GirardD000-240.06030—21:13
6E. JohnsonD101-130.24432—20:20
28I. ColeD000+110.00110—20:11
34C. SoderbergC011010.013004117:33
22C. WilsonC000020.16100016:51
11M. CalvertL000-120.072105015:36
15S. DriesC000-220.29102015:05
12P. NemethD000-100.01122—14:21
13A. KerfootC011010.080227513:59
16N. ZadorovD011+120.04400—12:58
57G. BourqueL000000.02200—12:35
17T. JostC101010.12010011:50
91V. KamenevC000000.00000007:55
56M. DanoC000000.00100006:20
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1S. Varlamov(L)23194.8262.88-1.1258:13

Season series

COL leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).