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Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
1
FinalTV ALT, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 6:12 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals were close — COL 2.6, WPG 2.6; shots on goal were COL 35, WPG 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G), 2. J.T. Compher (1 G), 3. Kyle Connor.

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Compher1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL213112110435
WPGWPG180908125

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    D. Toninato(1)
    A. Greer (1), E. Johnson (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:21
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(30)
    N. MacKinnon (46), M. Rantanen (52)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    10:29
  3. WPG
    B. Tanev(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    10:53

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Compher(12)SHG
    M. Nieto (14)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    6:12

3rd period

  1. COL
    S. Andrighetto(4)
    M. Nieto (15), M. Calvert (13)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    16:21

Penalties

COL 15 PIM·WPG 13 PIM

2nd

  • 1:33WPGBrandon Tanev · Holdingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 4:49COLSamuel Girard · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 4:33COLErik Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 9:47WPGBrendan Lemieux · Roughingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 9:47COLA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 13:14WPGBen Chiarot · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 14:09COLSven Andrighetto · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 16:58WPGBrandon Tanev · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 19:49COLMatt Calvert · Roughingdrawn by Joe Morrow2 min
  • 19:49COLMatt Calvert · Fightingdrawn by Joe Morrow5 min
  • 19:49WPGJoe Morrow · Fightingdrawn by Matt Calvert5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 2nd 6:12 — COL 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.22K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.17B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.17T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.16A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.15T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.11P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.10P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.10J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.09P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06B. Little · On goal · xG 0.05J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04B. Little · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tanev · Goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 2.6 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
2.64 G
All situations
1 G2.6
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL49%51%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
35
Shots on goal
25
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/3
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
13
23
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD011+420.05112—22:19
92G. LandeskogL101+140.281004622:07
4T. BarrieD000-120.05270—21:06
49S. GirardD000+210.00102—20:45
29N. MacKinnonC011+170.531003820:43
12P. NemethD000000.00210—20:03
96M. RantanenR011+130.26200—19:25
16N. ZadorovD000000.00620—19:22
34C. SoderbergC000-120.081003619:16
11M. CalvertL011020.101273317:32
37J. CompherL101+110.212104414:57
83M. NietoL022+110.01110—14:51
13A. KerfootC000020.17000013:26
27R. GravesD000+100.00010—13:14
17T. JostC000010.130003309:44
10S. AndrighettoR101+230.26002—08:32
47D. ToninatoC101+110.14010007:33
24A. GreerL011+130.30222—06:54
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1S. Varlamov(W)25241.9602.64+1.6460:00

Season series

COL leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).